L’École des cotes

D.C. United v Philadelphia Union

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 00:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

D.C. United (Local)

Prévision 32.29%3.10cote équitable
EV +3.32%
Avantage +1.04%
Kelly +1.51%
Croissance +0.050%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.74%32.07%32.33%33.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.942.903.2038.46%34.07%34.48%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Philadelphia Union (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.97%2.57cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -0.871%
Kelly -1.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.77%39.24%38.93%42.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.992.332.302.5150.25%42.85%43.48%39.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.74%3.48cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -0.668%
Kelly -0.947%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.66%28.69%28.75%30.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.233.253.4035.71%30.97%30.77%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.01%EV +3.32%E +1.04%K +1.51%G +0.050%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.75%EV -10.37%E -4.51%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -2.27%E -0.668%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 00:00
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 30.01%EV +3.32%E +1.04%K +1.51%G +0.050%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.75%EV -10.37%E -4.51%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -2.27%E -0.668%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 00:00
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 30.01%EV +3.32%E +1.04%K +1.51%G +0.050%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.75%EV -10.37%E -4.51%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -2.27%E -0.668%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 00:00
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.01%EV +3.32%E +1.04%K +1.51%G +0.050%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.75%EV -10.37%E -4.51%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -2.27%E -0.668%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 00:00
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV +1.70%E +0.541%K +0.792%G +0.013%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -12.32%E -5.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 00:00
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV +1.70%E +0.541%K +0.792%G +0.013%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -12.32%E -5.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 00:00
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV +1.70%E +0.541%K +0.792%G +0.013%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -12.32%E -5.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 23:59
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV +1.70%E +0.541%K +0.792%G +0.013%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -12.32%E -5.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 00:00
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV +1.70%E +0.541%K +0.792%G +0.013%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -12.32%E -5.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 00:00
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV +1.70%E +0.541%K +0.792%G +0.013%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -12.32%E -5.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 00:00
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV +1.70%E +0.541%K +0.792%G +0.013%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -12.32%E -5.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 00:00
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV +1.70%E +0.541%K +0.792%G +0.013%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -12.32%E -5.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 00:00
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV +1.70%E +0.541%K +0.792%G +0.013%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -12.32%E -5.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 00:00
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV +0.089%E +0.029%K +0.042%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -10.37%E -4.51%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 00:16
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV +0.089%E +0.029%K +0.042%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -14.27%E -6.48%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 00:00
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -1.53%E -0.500%K -0.744%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -15.05%E -6.90%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 00:00
1xBet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.89%EV -1.85%E -0.608%K -0.906%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.09%EV -3.36%E -1.35%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.02%EV -4.00%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 00:25
MyBookie.ag3.02I 33.11%NM 31.25%EV -2.49%E -0.826%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.98%EV -8.03%E -3.40%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.77%EV -5.72%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 00:05
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -3.14%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.76%EV -11.76%E -3.83%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 00:00
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 32.07%EV -3.79%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.53%EV -3.36%E -1.35%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 00:05
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 32.07%EV -3.79%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.53%EV -3.36%E -1.35%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 00:05
GTbets2.95I 33.90%NM 32.33%EV -4.75%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.77%EV -4.13%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 00:20
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -4.75%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.47%E -2.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:10
BetOnline.ag2.94I 34.01%NM 32.83%EV -5.08%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.45%EV -2.19%E -0.871%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.72%EV -3.42%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 00:15
LowVig.ag2.94I 34.01%NM 32.83%EV -5.08%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.45%EV -2.19%E -0.871%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.72%EV -3.42%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 00:15
Pinnacle2.94I 34.01%NM 32.74%EV -5.08%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.35%EV -2.19%E -0.871%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.91%EV -4.28%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 00:20
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.47%E -2.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 00:15
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.47%E -2.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 00:10
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -8.42%E -3.58%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 00:05
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.47%E -2.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.46%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 00:05
Marathon Bet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.30%EV -6.69%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89%EV -6.47%E -2.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.81%EV -6.87%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 00:14
Bovada2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.01%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -4.13%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 00:10
BetUS2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.01%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -4.13%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 00:15
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -7.01%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -7.25%E -3.05%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 00:10
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -7.01%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.47%E -2.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 00:09
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -7.01%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -6.47%E -2.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 00:10
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -4.52%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 00:04
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -6.47%E -2.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 00:05
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -6.47%E -2.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 00:05
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -10.37%E -4.51%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.46%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 00:10
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -10.37%E -4.51%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 00:05
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.37%E -4.51%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 42.87%EV -22.45%E -11.28%K -22.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.66%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%17.2%2026-02-20 05:35
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -11.21%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.25%E -3.05%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 00:10
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -11.21%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.25%E -3.05%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 00:10
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -11.21%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.25%E -3.05%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 00:10
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -11.21%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.25%E -3.05%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.21%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.37%E -4.51%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 00:10
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.21%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.37%E -4.51%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.21%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.37%E -4.51%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 00:10
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.21%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.37%E -4.51%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 00:10
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.61%EV -11.21%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 39.88%EV -15.05%E -6.90%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -12.33%E -4.04%K -6.02%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-22 00:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -11.21%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.14%EV -12.32%E -5.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -19.52%E -6.97%K -10.84%G +0.000%16.5%2026-02-22 00:25
Betclic (FR)2.73I 36.63%NM 31.63%EV -11.86%E -4.34%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 39.79%EV -15.44%E -7.11%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 28.59%EV -13.19%E -4.37%K -6.53%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-22 00:04
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -12.83%E -4.75%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -14.27%E -6.48%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -9.46%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%14.2%2026-02-22 00:05
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.04%EV -16.05%E -6.17%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 38.74%EV -16.22%E -7.54%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.22%EV -18.08%E -6.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%20.1%2026-02-22 00:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-02-22 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-02-22 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-02-22 00:15
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-02-22 00:25
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.26%2.0%2026-02-22 00:20
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.0%2026-02-22 00:25