La escuela de los momios

D.C. United v Philadelphia Union

Inicio: 2026-02-22 00:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

D.C. United (Local)

Predicción 32.29%3.10momio equitativo
EV +3.32%
Ventaja +1.04%
Kelly +1.51%
Crecimiento +0.050%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.74%32.07%32.33%33.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.942.903.2038.46%34.07%34.48%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Philadelphia Union (Visitante)

Predicción 38.97%2.57momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -0.871%
Kelly -1.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.77%39.24%38.93%42.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.992.332.302.5150.25%42.85%43.48%39.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.74%3.48momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -0.668%
Kelly -0.947%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.66%28.69%28.75%30.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.233.253.4035.71%30.97%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.01%EV +3.32%E +1.04%K +1.51%G +0.050%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.75%EV -10.37%E -4.51%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -2.27%E -0.668%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 00:00
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 30.01%EV +3.32%E +1.04%K +1.51%G +0.050%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.75%EV -10.37%E -4.51%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -2.27%E -0.668%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 00:00
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 30.01%EV +3.32%E +1.04%K +1.51%G +0.050%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.75%EV -10.37%E -4.51%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -2.27%E -0.668%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 00:00
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.01%EV +3.32%E +1.04%K +1.51%G +0.050%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.75%EV -10.37%E -4.51%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -2.27%E -0.668%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 00:00
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV +1.70%E +0.541%K +0.792%G +0.013%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -12.32%E -5.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 00:00
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV +1.70%E +0.541%K +0.792%G +0.013%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -12.32%E -5.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 00:00
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV +1.70%E +0.541%K +0.792%G +0.013%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -12.32%E -5.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 23:59
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV +1.70%E +0.541%K +0.792%G +0.013%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -12.32%E -5.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 00:00
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV +1.70%E +0.541%K +0.792%G +0.013%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -12.32%E -5.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 00:00
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV +1.70%E +0.541%K +0.792%G +0.013%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -12.32%E -5.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 00:00
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV +1.70%E +0.541%K +0.792%G +0.013%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -12.32%E -5.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 00:00
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV +1.70%E +0.541%K +0.792%G +0.013%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -12.32%E -5.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 00:00
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV +1.70%E +0.541%K +0.792%G +0.013%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -12.32%E -5.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 00:00
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV +0.089%E +0.029%K +0.042%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -10.37%E -4.51%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 00:16
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV +0.089%E +0.029%K +0.042%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -14.27%E -6.48%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 00:00
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -1.53%E -0.500%K -0.744%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -15.05%E -6.90%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 00:00
1xBet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.89%EV -1.85%E -0.608%K -0.906%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.09%EV -3.36%E -1.35%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.02%EV -4.00%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 00:25
MyBookie.ag3.02I 33.11%NM 31.25%EV -2.49%E -0.826%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.98%EV -8.03%E -3.40%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.77%EV -5.72%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 00:05
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -3.14%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -2.58%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.76%EV -11.76%E -3.83%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 00:00
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 32.07%EV -3.79%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.53%EV -3.36%E -1.35%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 00:05
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 32.07%EV -3.79%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.53%EV -3.36%E -1.35%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 00:05
GTbets2.95I 33.90%NM 32.33%EV -4.75%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.77%EV -4.13%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 00:20
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -4.75%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.47%E -2.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:10
BetOnline.ag2.94I 34.01%NM 32.83%EV -5.08%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.45%EV -2.19%E -0.871%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.72%EV -3.42%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 00:15
LowVig.ag2.94I 34.01%NM 32.83%EV -5.08%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.45%EV -2.19%E -0.871%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.72%EV -3.42%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 00:15
Pinnacle2.94I 34.01%NM 32.74%EV -5.08%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.35%EV -2.19%E -0.871%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.91%EV -4.28%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 00:20
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.47%E -2.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 00:15
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.47%E -2.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 00:10
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -8.42%E -3.58%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 00:05
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -6.37%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.47%E -2.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.46%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 00:05
Marathon Bet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.30%EV -6.69%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89%EV -6.47%E -2.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.81%EV -6.87%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 00:14
Bovada2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.01%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -4.13%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 00:10
BetUS2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.01%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -4.13%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 00:15
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -7.01%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -7.25%E -3.05%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 00:10
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -7.01%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.47%E -2.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 00:09
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -7.01%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -6.47%E -2.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 00:10
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -4.52%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 00:04
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -6.47%E -2.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 00:05
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -6.47%E -2.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 00:05
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -7.98%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -10.37%E -4.51%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.46%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 00:10
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -10.37%E -4.51%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 00:05
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.37%E -4.51%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 42.87%EV -22.45%E -11.28%K -22.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.66%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%17.2%2026-02-20 05:35
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -11.21%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.25%E -3.05%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 00:10
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -11.21%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.25%E -3.05%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 00:10
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -11.21%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.25%E -3.05%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 00:10
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -11.21%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.25%E -3.05%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.21%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.37%E -4.51%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 00:10
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.21%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.37%E -4.51%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.21%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.37%E -4.51%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 00:10
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.21%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.37%E -4.51%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 00:10
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.61%EV -11.21%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 39.88%EV -15.05%E -6.90%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -12.33%E -4.04%K -6.02%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-22 00:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -11.21%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.14%EV -12.32%E -5.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -19.52%E -6.97%K -10.84%G +0.000%16.5%2026-02-22 00:25
Betclic (FR)2.73I 36.63%NM 31.63%EV -11.86%E -4.34%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 39.79%EV -15.44%E -7.11%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 28.59%EV -13.19%E -4.37%K -6.53%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-22 00:04
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -12.83%E -4.75%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -14.27%E -6.48%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -9.46%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%14.2%2026-02-22 00:05
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.04%EV -16.05%E -6.17%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 38.74%EV -16.22%E -7.54%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.22%EV -18.08%E -6.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%20.1%2026-02-22 00:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-02-22 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-02-22 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-02-22 00:15
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-02-22 00:25
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.26%2.0%2026-02-22 00:20
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.0%2026-02-22 00:25