Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

D.C. United v New York City FC

2026-11-07 21:00 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

D.C. United (Local)

Prediction 31.88%3.14fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.373%
Kelly -0.551%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.40%32.09%31.86%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.802.803.1040.00%35.76%35.71%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York City FC (Visit)

Prediction 41.54%2.41fair odd
EV +1.77%
Edge +0.720%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.88%41.27%41.52%42.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.272.252.4550.25%44.07%44.44%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.58%3.76fair odd
EV +0.997%
Edge +0.262%
Kelly +0.356%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.43%26.64%26.62%27.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.483.503.8030.77%28.71%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: D.C. United (Local): 31.88%; New York City FC (Visit): 41.54%; Draw: 26.58%. For New York City FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.45, producing a positive expected value of +1.77%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -12.32%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.44%EV +1.77%E +0.720%K +1.22%G +0.021%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV +0.997%E +0.262%K +0.356%G +0.004%3.5%2026-10-31 21:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -12.32%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.44%EV +1.77%E +0.720%K +1.22%G +0.021%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV +0.997%E +0.262%K +0.356%G +0.004%3.5%2026-10-31 21:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -12.32%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.44%EV +1.77%E +0.720%K +1.22%G +0.021%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV +0.997%E +0.262%K +0.356%G +0.004%3.5%2026-10-31 21:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -15.50%E -5.85%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -0.312%E -0.130%K -0.223%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 21:20
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -15.50%E -5.85%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -1.14%E -0.480%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 21:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -15.50%E -5.85%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -1.14%E -0.480%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 21:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -15.50%E -5.85%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -1.14%E -0.480%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 21:40
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -15.50%E -5.85%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -1.14%E -0.480%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 21:40
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -15.50%E -5.85%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -1.14%E -0.480%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 21:40
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -15.50%E -5.85%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -1.14%E -0.480%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 21:40
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -15.50%E -5.85%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -1.14%E -0.480%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 21:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.97%EV -16.14%E -6.14%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.13%EV -2.39%E -1.02%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 21:40
GTbets🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.39%EV -6.26%E -2.13%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.87%EV -3.22%E -1.38%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -5.38%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 00:15
1xBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.91%EV -3.07%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.81%EV -3.63%E -1.57%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.29%EV -1.93%E -0.522%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-01 00:20
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.98%EV -5.94%E -2.01%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.67%EV -3.63%E -1.57%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 23:50
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.92%EV -17.10%E -6.58%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.14%EV -3.63%E -1.57%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 21:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.92%EV -17.10%E -6.58%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.14%EV -3.63%E -1.57%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 21:40
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.47%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 22:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.13%E -3.20%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -4.47%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 21:15
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.13%E -3.20%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -4.47%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 21:15
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -9.13%E -3.20%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -4.47%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 21:20
Pinnacle🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.40%EV -3.07%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.86%EV -5.30%E -2.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.74%EV -5.12%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-31 22:20
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -18.69%E -7.33%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.14%EV -5.30%E -2.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-31 21:40
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -2.75%E -0.902%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 21:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -1.16%E -0.373%K -0.551%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 23:15
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 21:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.26%EV -8.49%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.14%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.60%EV -7.51%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-01 00:13
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 21:15
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.32%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 21:15
picklebet_au🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.32%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 21:20
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.32%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 21:20
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.32%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.32%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 21:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.88%EV -20.29%E -8.12%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.10%EV -7.37%E -3.31%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.03%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-31 21:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -6.90%E -2.36%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.89%EV -7.79%E -3.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.27%EV -5.91%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 00:15
ReBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.20%EV -10.08%E -3.58%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.09%EV -8.20%E -3.71%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 00:15
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 21:20
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 21:40
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 00:14
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 00:14
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-01 00:15
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 22:15
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 22:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 22:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 22:15
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -10.70%E -4.97%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-31 21:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.00%EV -12.32%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.50%EV -11.94%E -5.63%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.50%EV -11.76%E -3.54%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.7%2026-11-01 00:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -13.91%E -5.15%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -12.77%E -6.08%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-01 00:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.72%EV -17.10%E -6.58%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.50%EV -14.85%E -7.24%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.78%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%17.5%2026-11-01 00:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.37%EV -13.91%E -5.15%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 42.57%EV -17.34%E -8.71%K -17.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.06%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%18.1%2026-11-01 00:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-10-31 21:15
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 32.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.77%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%13.6%2026-11-01 00:15
Arbitrage (18 combinations) +0.61%PointsBet (AU) 3.10 (32.5%) / LeoVegas (SE) 2.45 (41.1%) / LeoVegas (SE) 3.80 (26.5%)Show all 18 combinations
D.C. United (Local)New York City FC (Visit)DrawMargin
PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.45 (41.1%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.5%)+0.614%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.45 (41.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.80 (26.5%)+0.614%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.45 (41.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.5%)+0.614%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.45 (41.1%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.5%)+0.614%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.45 (41.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.80 (26.5%)+0.614%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.45 (41.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.5%)+0.614%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.45 (41.1%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.5%)+0.614%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.45 (41.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.80 (26.5%)+0.614%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.45 (41.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.5%)+0.614%
SportsBet🎯 3.05 (32.8%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.45 (40.8%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.3%)+0.081%
SportsBet🎯 3.05 (32.8%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.45 (40.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.80 (26.3%)+0.081%
SportsBet🎯 3.05 (32.8%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.45 (40.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.3%)+0.081%
SportsBet🎯 3.05 (32.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.45 (40.8%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.3%)+0.081%
SportsBet🎯 3.05 (32.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.45 (40.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.80 (26.3%)+0.081%
SportsBet🎯 3.05 (32.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.45 (40.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.3%)+0.081%
SportsBet🎯 3.05 (32.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.45 (40.8%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.3%)+0.081%
SportsBet🎯 3.05 (32.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.45 (40.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.80 (26.3%)+0.081%
SportsBet🎯 3.05 (32.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.45 (40.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.3%)+0.081%