The School of Odds

D.C. United v Nashville SC

2026-08-01 23:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

D.C. United (Local)

Prediction 30.62%3.27fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.02%30.68%30.55%31.68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.883.003.003.1634.72%33.29%33.33%31.65%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Nashville SC (Visit)

Prediction 41.79%2.39fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.46%41.81%41.88%42.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.082.212.202.3248.08%45.20%45.45%43.10%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.59%3.63fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -0.743%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.61%27.51%27.57%28.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.153.363.403.5331.75%29.79%29.41%28.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet3.16I 31.65%NM 30.70%EV -3.24%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.82%EV -3.04%E -1.31%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.48%EV -2.62%E -0.743%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-26 00:05
Pinnacle3.13I 31.95%NM 30.41%EV -4.15%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.93%EV -5.13%E -2.26%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.67%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 00:50
GTbets3.11I 32.15%NM 30.62%EV -4.77%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.77%EV -4.71%E -2.07%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 00:05
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -5.97%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.45%E -0.986%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 23:54
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -5.97%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.45%E -0.986%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 23:55
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.97%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 23:54
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.97%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 00:45
MyBookie.ag3.06I 32.68%NM 30.25%EV -6.30%E -2.06%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.70%EV -7.22%E -3.25%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 23:54
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -4.71%E -2.07%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 23:54
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -4.71%E -2.07%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 23:54
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.97%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -3.45%E -0.986%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 23:55
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.70%EV -6.91%E -2.27%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.80%E -3.05%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 23:53
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.97%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 23:53
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.06%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.45%E -0.986%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 00:00
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.06%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.45%E -0.986%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 23:59
betano_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.06%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 23:54
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.06%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 23:54
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.06%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 01:00
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.06%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 01:00
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.06%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 01:00
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.06%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 01:00
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.67%E -3.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.06%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 23:55
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -9.67%E -3.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -8.89%E -4.08%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 00:50
Betclic (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 30.02%EV -10.58%E -3.62%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.15%EV -13.07%E -6.28%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -13.11%E -4.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 23:55
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.20%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.06%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.20%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -10.14%E -4.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 23:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.20%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -10.14%E -4.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 23:54
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.20%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -10.14%E -4.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 23:55
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.20%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -10.14%E -4.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 23:55
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -11.81%E -4.10%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.06%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 23:55
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -11.81%E -4.10%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -10.14%E -4.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-25 23:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 30.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.50%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%13.7%2026-07-25 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-26 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-26 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-26 00:00