The School of Odds

Columbus Crew SC v New York City FC

2026-07-22 23:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Columbus Crew SC (Local)

Prediction 47.82%2.09fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -2.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.93%47.62%47.82%48.44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.761.921.952.0357%52%51%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New York City FC (Visit)

Prediction 26.51%3.77fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -0.742%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.73%26.66%26.51%27.73%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.153.443.503.6732%29%29%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 25.67%3.89fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -0.641%
Kelly -0.870%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.35%25.71%25.67%26.92%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.253.563.503.8031%28%29%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.78%EV -2.93%E -1.44%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.43%EV -2.72%E -0.742%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.79%EV -3.46%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-12 10:14
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -3.72%E -0.992%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 08:59
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 12:05
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 12:04
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.05%EV -5.80%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -2.44%E -0.641%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 08:54
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.44%E -0.641%K -0.870%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 08:59
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -6.17%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -7.06%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 10:04
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 08:54
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 08:59
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 08:59
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 08:59
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.66%E -4.54%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -2.44%E -0.641%K -0.870%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 08:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.66%E -4.54%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -2.44%E -0.641%K -0.870%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 09:14
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.66%E -4.54%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 10:17
betano_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.66%E -4.54%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 10:20
LeoVegas1.90I 52.63%NM 47.59%EV -9.14%E -4.81%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -11.42%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-12 14:29
ReBet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.01%EV -9.62%E -5.09%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.07%EV -10.65%E -3.06%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-12 09:04
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -11.53%E -6.23%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -13.86%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-12 08:57
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 47.92%EV -12.97%E -7.13%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.65%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-12 09:04
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 48.15%EV -14.40%E -8.05%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.73%EV -11.20%E -3.34%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -15.27%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-12 09:03
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 47.61%EV -15.84%E -9.00%K -20.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.60%EV -16.51%E -5.24%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.78%EV -16.56%E -5.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%19.3%2026-07-12 09:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 47.31%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.35%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.35%16.8%2026-07-12 09:04