Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbus Crew SC v New York City FC

Kickoff: 2026-07-22 23:40 UTC

Final: Columbus Crew SC 1–2 New York City FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbus Crew SC (Local)

Prediction 42.37%2.36fair odd
EV +5.92%
Edge +2.37%
Kelly +3.95%
Growth +0.234%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.33%42.36%42.38%47.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.192.202.5050.00%45.72%45.45%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York City FC (Visit)

Prediction 29.95%3.34fair odd
EV +6.33%
Edge +1.78%
Kelly +2.48%
Growth +0.157%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.49%29.99%29.91%34.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.113.103.5537.04%32.12%32.26%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.68%3.61fair odd
EV -0.070%
Edge -0.019%
Kelly -0.027%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.37%27.65%27.71%28.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.383.403.6131.25%29.57%29.41%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Columbus Crew SC (Local): 42.37%; New York City FC (Visit): 29.95%; Draw: 27.68%. For New York City FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV +5.92%E +2.37%K +3.95%G +0.234%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -19.13%E -7.09%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.11%EV -8.10%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 23:25
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.82%EV -1.71%E -0.736%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.30%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.88%EV -0.070%E -0.019%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-22 23:25
GTbets2.31I 43.29%NM 41.53%EV -2.13%E -0.923%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.45%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.02%EV -1.73%E -0.487%K -0.679%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 23:19
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -2.55%E -1.11%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 23:24
Caesars2.26I 44.25%NM 41.57%EV -4.25%E -1.88%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-22 23:22
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 42.96%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV +0.336%E +0.100%K +0.143%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.18%EV -5.05%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-22 23:19
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -0.347%E -0.096%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-22 23:19
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -3.11%E -0.890%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 23:19
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 23:19
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 23:19
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 23:17
betano_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 23:20
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 23:20
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 23:24
LowVig.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.29%EV -5.52%E -2.48%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV +1.83%E +0.539%K +0.764%G +0.014%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.31%EV -5.61%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-22 23:25
BetOnline.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.29%EV -5.52%E -2.48%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV +1.83%E +0.539%K +0.764%G +0.014%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.31%EV -5.61%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-22 23:24
BetUS2.23I 44.84%NM 43.29%EV -5.52%E -2.48%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV +1.83%E +0.539%K +0.764%G +0.014%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.31%EV -5.61%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-22 23:24
Bovada2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.52%E -2.48%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-22 23:18
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.63%EV -5.94%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -2.66%E -0.818%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 23:24
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.63%EV -5.94%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -2.66%E -0.818%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 23:24
MyBookie.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 42.69%EV -6.37%E -2.88%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.05%EV -5.95%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.27%EV -4.22%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.54%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV -2.66%E -0.818%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -1.73%E -0.487%K -0.679%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 23:24
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.54%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV -2.66%E -0.818%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -1.73%E -0.487%K -0.679%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 23:25
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.54%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV -2.66%E -0.818%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -1.73%E -0.487%K -0.679%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 23:24
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.11%E -0.890%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 23:19
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -2.66%E -0.818%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 23:20
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -1.16%E -0.352%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 23:25
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -1.16%E -0.352%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 23:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -1.16%E -0.352%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 23:24
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -2.66%E -0.818%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 23:24
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 23:19
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 23:19
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 23:24
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -11.64%E -3.95%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-22 23:20
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-22 23:24
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -13.74%E -4.77%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-22 23:20
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.14%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 23:24
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.14%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 23:24
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.14%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 23:24
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.14%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 23:24
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.11%E -0.890%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 23:24
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.11%E -0.890%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 23:25
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.11%E -0.890%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 23:24
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.11%E -0.890%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 23:24
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.11%E -0.890%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 23:24
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.11%E -0.890%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 23:24
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.11%E -0.890%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 23:24
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 23:24
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -5.65%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 23:24
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-22 23:24
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.14%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-22 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.14%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-22 23:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.14%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-22 23:19
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.14%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-22 23:19
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -9.33%E -4.36%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -4.50%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 23:25
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -5.65%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-22 23:24
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -4.50%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 23:19
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -11.88%E -5.71%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 23:24
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.08%EV -12.30%E -5.94%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.19%EV -9.20%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-22 23:18
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -12.72%E -6.18%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-22 23:24
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -12.72%E -6.18%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-22 23:24
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -13.15%E -6.41%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-22 23:19
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -13.15%E -6.41%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-22 23:19
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.73%EV -13.15%E -6.41%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -14.64%E -5.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-22 23:19
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%EV -15.27%E -7.63%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +6.33%E +1.78%K +2.48%G +0.157%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -1.73%E -0.487%K -0.679%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 23:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 44.02%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.99%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.99%0.1%2026-07-22 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-07-22 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-07-22 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-07-22 23:25
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-07-22 23:20
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86%1.9%2026-07-22 23:19