Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbus Crew SC v CF Montreal

2026-08-19 23:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbus Crew SC (Local)

Prediction 60.36%1.66fair odd
EV -4.63%
Edge -2.93%
Kelly -7.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.01%60.36%60.36%61.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.531.531.5868.49%65.28%65.36%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CF Montreal (Visit)

Prediction 18.14%5.51fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -0.730%
Kelly -0.900%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.43%18.14%18.14%19.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.954.855.3022.22%20.20%20.62%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.50%4.65fair odd
EV +3.84%
Edge +0.795%
Kelly +1.00%
Growth +0.038%

assuming max odds 4.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.05%21.49%21.50%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.934.294.334.8325.45%23.32%23.09%20.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Columbus Crew SC (Local): 60.36%; CF Montreal (Visit): 18.14%; Draw: 21.50%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.65. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.83, producing a positive expected value of +3.84%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.68%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.27%EV -3.87%E -0.730%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 20.05%EV +3.84%E +0.795%K +1.00%G +0.038%3.3%2026-08-02 14:14
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.24%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -4.78%E -0.910%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:44
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.65%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.85%EV -3.87%E -0.730%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 11:44
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.58%EV -9.46%E -6.30%K -18.91%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.43%EV -3.87%E -0.730%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 11:44
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -9.31%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -6.91%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 11:49
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -12.94%E -2.70%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -6.91%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 14:04
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -12.94%E -2.70%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -6.91%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 14:04
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -12.94%E -2.70%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -6.91%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 14:04
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -12.94%E -2.70%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -6.91%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 14:04
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.94%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -4.78%E -0.910%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -7.55%E -1.76%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:44
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.68%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 12:04
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.65%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -11.12%E -2.27%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 14:19
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -14.75%E -3.14%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 14:20
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.01%EV -10.06%E -6.75%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -18.38%E -4.08%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -11.85%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-02 14:19
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -9.46%E -6.30%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -13.85%E -2.91%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-02 11:49
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 59.09%EV -11.87%E -8.13%K -25.80%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 18.96%EV -17.47%E -3.84%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 21.95%EV -15.51%E -3.95%K -5.29%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-02 14:18
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 58.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.25%16.7%2026-08-02 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 12:25