Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rapids v Houston Dynamo

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 01:40 UTC

Final: Colorado Rapids 6–2 Houston Dynamo

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rapids (Local)

Prediction 43.80%2.28fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.644%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.93%43.81%43.84%45.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.2550.00%46.76%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Dynamo (Visit)

Prediction 28.30%3.53fair odd
EV +1.32%
Edge +0.369%
Kelly +0.512%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 3.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.03%28.35%28.20%30.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.263.203.5833.33%30.72%31.25%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.90%3.58fair odd
EV +0.431%
Edge +0.120%
Kelly +0.166%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.05%27.84%27.96%29.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.333.303.6032.26%30.04%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colorado Rapids (Local): 43.80%; Houston Dynamo (Visit): 28.30%; Draw: 27.90%. For Houston Dynamo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.32%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.14%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.13%EV +1.32%E +0.369%K +0.512%G +0.007%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.73%EV -5.71%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 01:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.76%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -0.942%E -0.269%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.61%EV -5.71%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 01:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.76%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -0.942%E -0.269%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.61%EV -5.71%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 01:09
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -2.36%E -0.683%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 01:29
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -2.33%E -1.04%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.30%EV -3.21%E -0.938%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.30%EV -4.59%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 01:25
GTbets🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.73%EV -2.33%E -1.04%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.86%EV -3.21%E -0.938%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -9.61%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 01:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 01:29
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 01:35
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 01:30
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 01:35
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 01:29
BetAnything🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.02%EV -6.71%E -3.15%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 01:25
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 01:19
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.33%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 01:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.40%E -6.20%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 01:30
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.19%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.75%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 01:33
Marathon Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -6.71%E -3.15%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -5.47%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 01:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.02%EV -1.45%E -0.644%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.33%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%EV -2.36%E -0.674%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 01:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.02%EV -1.45%E -0.644%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.33%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%EV -2.36%E -0.674%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 01:35
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -1.45%E -0.644%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 00:49
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 01:23
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 01:35
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.43%EV -4.52%E -2.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -3.75%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 01:25
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.43%EV -4.52%E -2.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -3.75%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 01:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -3.75%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 01:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -3.75%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 01:35
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +0.431%E +0.120%K +0.166%G +0.001%6.6%2026-04-12 01:13
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 00:45
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 01:35
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 01:25
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.33%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 00:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.33%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 00:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.33%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 00:50
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 01:34
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 01:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.21%E -4.98%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 01:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -10.85%E -3.44%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 00:00
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -10.85%E -3.44%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -6.54%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 01:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.14%EV -6.27%E -2.93%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -10.85%E -3.44%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.54%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 01:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -12.40%E -6.20%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -10.85%E -3.44%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-12 01:31
MyBookie.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -10.21%E -4.98%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -6.54%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-12 01:33
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.21%E -4.98%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -9.33%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-12 01:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -12.40%E -6.20%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -13.52%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-12 01:34
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -13.68%E -4.48%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -6.54%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -15.09%E -5.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -15.09%E -5.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 00:00
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -15.09%E -5.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 00:00
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -15.09%E -5.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 00:00
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.21%E -4.98%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -15.09%E -5.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 01:18
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%1.4%2026-04-12 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.24%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%1.8%2026-04-12 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.47%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36%2.2%2026-04-12 01:35
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.85%2.6%2026-04-12 01:35
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 43.54%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.61%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%3.5%2026-04-12 01:35
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 43.42%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.29%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.29%6.1%2026-04-12 01:35