The School of Odds

Colorado Rapids v Austin FC

2026-08-02 01:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Colorado Rapids (Local)

Prediction 54.00%1.85fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -4.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.38%53.90%53.98%54.80%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.581.721.731.7963.29%58.29%57.97%55.87%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Austin FC (Visit)

Prediction 22.66%4.41fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -0.599%
Kelly -0.780%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.05%22.73%22.75%24.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.504.003.984.3028.57%24.99%25.16%23.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 23.35%4.28fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.405%
Kelly -0.532%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.57%23.37%23.27%24.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.703.913.904.2127.03%25.57%25.64%23.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.19%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.77%EV -3.48%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.04%EV -1.71%E -0.405%K -0.532%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-26 02:03
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.51%EV -3.89%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 03:25
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.22%EV -3.89%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -7.11%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 03:25
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.08%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -3.71%E -0.873%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 03:25
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.91%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV -3.71%E -0.873%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 03:15
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.91%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV -3.71%E -0.873%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 03:15
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -11.64%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 03:19
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -11.64%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 03:24
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -11.64%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 03:19
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -11.64%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 03:19
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -2.58%E -0.599%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -4.28%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 01:54
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -2.58%E -0.599%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -4.28%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 02:44
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.82%EV -2.87%E -0.691%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 02:50
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.11%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 01:58
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.59%E -3.81%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 03:25
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.59%E -3.81%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -10.51%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -10.11%E -2.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 03:25
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.59%E -3.81%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.45%E -3.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 03:24
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.22%EV -7.13%E -4.14%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.11%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -5.44%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 01:54
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.67%E -4.48%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 01:58
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -8.21%E -4.83%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.64%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 01:54
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -8.21%E -4.83%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -7.11%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 02:04
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -8.21%E -4.83%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -7.11%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 02:05
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -8.21%E -4.83%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.90%E -3.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 01:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -8.21%E -4.83%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -11.64%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 01:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -8.21%E -4.83%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -11.64%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 01:59
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -8.21%E -4.83%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -11.64%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 01:59
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -8.21%E -4.83%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -11.64%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 02:00
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -8.75%E -5.18%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 03:25
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 53.89%EV -8.75%E -5.18%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -10.51%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 02:24
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -9.83%E -5.88%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -13.90%E -3.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-26 06:34
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.06%EV -9.83%E -5.88%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.90%E -3.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -12.45%E -3.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-26 03:25
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.82%EV -11.99%E -7.35%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.90%E -3.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-26 01:54
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.63%EV -12.53%E -7.73%K -20.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.80%EV -17.30%E -4.74%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.57%EV -10.11%E -2.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-26 02:40
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 53.24%EV -14.69%E -9.30%K -25.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.03%EV -20.70%E -5.91%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.73%EV -13.61%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-26 02:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 53.37%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%12.9%2026-07-26 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 37.26%1.49I 67.11%NM 44.01%3.50I 28.57%NM 18.73%52.5%2026-07-26 08:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 37.26%1.49I 67.11%NM 44.01%3.50I 28.57%NM 18.73%52.5%2026-07-26 08:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 22.55%1.04I 96.15%NM 38.16%1.01I 99.01%NM 39.29%152.0%2026-07-26 02:55