Chicago Fire v Vancouver Whitecaps FC

2026-07-17 00:30 — MLS

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Chicago Fire (Local)

Odds

2.4540.82%Min

2.6437.90%Mean

2.6537.74%Median

2.8435.21%Max

Consensus probabilities

33.95%2.945Min

35.62%2.807Max

34.68%2.884Mean

34.46%2.902Median

34.69%2.882IQM

34.65%2.886Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.84 under the IQM model: 34.69%

EV -1.47%Edge -0.518%Kelly -0.799%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Visit)

Odds

2.1047.62%Min

2.2744.04%Mean

2.3043.48%Median

2.3941.84%Max

Consensus probabilities

39.86%2.509Min

41.10%2.433Max

40.41%2.475Mean

40.33%2.479Median

40.37%2.477IQM

40.39%2.476Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.39 under the IQM model: 40.37%

EV -3.52%Edge -1.47%Kelly -2.53%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.3529.85%Min

3.6427.48%Mean

3.6027.78%Median

3.9025.64%Max

Consensus probabilities

23.56%4.244Min

26.19%3.818Max

24.91%4.014Mean

25.21%3.967Median

24.94%4.010IQM

24.96%4.007Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.90 under the IQM model: 24.94%

EV -2.75%Edge -0.704%Kelly -0.947%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Chicago Fire (Local) ▼	Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	2.84I 35.21% NM 34.13%EV -1.47% E -0.518% K -0.799% G +0.000%	2.39I 41.84% NM 40.56%EV -3.52% E -1.47% K -2.53% G +0.000%	3.83I 26.11% NM 25.31%EV -4.49% E -1.17% K -1.59% G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-07-01 01:09
Marathon Bet	2.73I 36.63% NM 34.14%EV -5.29% E -1.94% K -3.06% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.53%EV -7.15% E -3.11% K -5.50% G +0.000%	3.68I 27.17% NM 25.33%EV -8.23% E -2.24% K -3.07% G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-01 01:09
William Hill	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.95%EV -6.33% E -2.34% K -3.72% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 39.86%EV -7.15% E -3.11% K -5.50% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.19%EV -12.72% E -3.63% K -5.09% G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-06-30 15:50
888sport	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.95%EV -6.33% E -2.34% K -3.72% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 39.86%EV -7.15% E -3.11% K -5.50% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.19%EV -12.72% E -3.63% K -5.09% G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-06-30 17:29
888sport (SE)	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.95%EV -6.33% E -2.34% K -3.72% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 39.86%EV -7.15% E -3.11% K -5.50% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.19%EV -12.72% E -3.63% K -5.09% G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-06-30 17:29
Mr Green (SE)	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.95%EV -6.33% E -2.34% K -3.72% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 39.86%EV -7.15% E -3.11% K -5.50% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.19%EV -12.72% E -3.63% K -5.09% G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-06-30 17:29
ReBet	2.66I 37.59% NM 34.17%EV -7.71% E -2.90% K -4.65% G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25% NM 40.22%EV -8.77% E -3.88% K -6.96% G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17% NM 25.61%EV -11.47% E -3.23% K -4.50% G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-07-04 19:10
SportsBet	2.65I 37.74% NM 35.62%EV -8.06% E -3.04% K -4.89% G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55% NM 40.17%EV -5.13% E -2.18% K -3.80% G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64% NM 24.21%EV -2.75% E -0.704% K -0.947% G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-30 15:09
Betr (AU)	2.65I 37.74% NM 35.62%EV -8.06% E -3.04% K -4.89% G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55% NM 40.17%EV -5.13% E -2.18% K -3.80% G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64% NM 24.21%EV -2.75% E -0.704% K -0.947% G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-30 15:09
FanDuel	2.65I 37.74% NM 35.31%EV -8.06% E -3.04% K -4.89% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.69%EV -7.15% E -3.11% K -5.50% G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64% NM 24.00%EV -2.75% E -0.704% K -0.947% G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-06-30 15:10
Tipico (DE)	2.65I 37.74% NM 34.62%EV -8.06% E -3.04% K -4.89% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 39.89%EV -7.15% E -3.11% K -5.50% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 25.49%EV -10.23% E -2.84% K -3.93% G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-07-04 19:15
LeoVegas	2.65I 37.74% NM 34.07%EV -8.06% E -3.04% K -4.89% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.13%EV -9.17% E -4.08% K -7.34% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 25.80%EV -12.72% E -3.63% K -5.09% G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-07-04 19:10
Paddy Power	2.62I 38.17% NM 35.35%EV -9.10% E -3.47% K -5.62% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.27%EV -7.15% E -3.11% K -5.50% G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32% NM 24.38%EV -5.24% E -1.38% K -1.87% G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-06-30 20:49
Betclic (FR)	2.52I 39.68% NM 34.20%EV -12.57% E -4.99% K -8.27% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 41.04%EV -15.22% E -7.25% K -13.84% G +0.000%	3.48I 28.74% NM 24.76%EV -13.22% E -3.80% K -5.33% G +0.000%	16.0%	2026-06-30 23:18
BoyleSports	2.50I 40.00% NM 35.34%EV -13.27% E -5.31% K -8.84% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 41.10%EV -13.21% E -6.14% K -11.48% G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67% NM 23.56%EV -6.49% E -1.73% K -2.36% G +0.000%	13.2%	2026-07-01 00:29
Sky Bet	2.50I 40.00% NM 35.33%EV -13.27% E -5.31% K -8.84% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 40.14%EV -11.19% E -5.09% K -9.32% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 24.53%EV -10.23% E -2.84% K -3.93% G +0.000%	13.2%	2026-06-30 17:19
Winamax (DE)	2.50I 40.00% NM 34.76%EV -13.27% E -5.31% K -8.84% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 40.42%EV -13.21% E -6.14% K -11.48% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 24.83%EV -12.72% E -3.63% K -5.09% G +0.000%	15.1%	2026-07-04 19:10
Winamax (FR)	2.45I 40.82% NM 34.51%EV -15.00% E -6.12% K -10.35% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 40.26%EV -15.22% E -7.25% K -13.84% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 25.24%EV -16.46% E -4.91% K -7.00% G +0.000%	18.3%	2026-07-04 19:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Chicago Fire (Local)	Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets	2.52I 39.68%	2.14I 46.73%	3.30I 30.30%	16.7%	2026-07-04 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.17I 85.47%	1.17I 85.47%	1.01I 99.01%	170.0%	2026-07-01 07:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.17I 85.47%	1.17I 85.47%	1.01I 99.01%	170.0%	2026-07-01 07:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.17I 85.47%	1.17I 85.47%	1.01I 99.01%	170.0%	2026-07-01 07:19