Chicago Fire v Vancouver Whitecaps FC

Kickoff: 2026-07-17 00:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

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Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

37%

38%

25%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chicago Fire (Local)

Prediction 37.44%2.67fair odd

EV -3.03%

Edge -1.17%

Kelly -1.90%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

37.16%37.44%37.47%37.86%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.452.492.482.5941%40%40%39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Visit)

Prediction 37.59%2.66fair odd

EV -3.78%

Edge -1.47%

Kelly -2.42%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

37.31%37.59%37.70%38.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.402.482.452.5642%40%41%39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.97%4.00fair odd

EV -2.36%

Edge -0.605%

Kelly -0.813%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

24.27%24.97%24.82%25.39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.603.753.773.9128%27%26%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle	2.59I 38.61%NM 37.40%EV -3.03%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%	2.56I 39.06%NM 37.83%EV -3.78%E -1.47%K -2.42%G +0.000%	3.91I 25.58%NM 24.77%EV -2.36%E -0.605%K -0.813%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-07-16 23:00
BetAnything	2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -3.03%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.88%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%	3.89I 25.71%NM 24.83%EV -2.86%E -0.736%K -0.991%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-07-16 19:55
SportsBet	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -4.52%E -1.77%K -2.92%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -5.11%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-16 18:30
Betr (AU)	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.86%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.86%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.61%E -0.670%K -0.902%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-16 16:10
FanDuel	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.11%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-16 21:50
Paddy Power	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -6.36%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-16 21:35
Sky Bet	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.27%E -3.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -5.11%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-16 21:50
William Hill	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.27%E -3.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.11%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-07-16 21:50
888sport	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.27%E -3.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.11%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-07-16 21:50
888sport (SE)	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.27%E -3.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.11%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-07-16 21:45
Mr Green (SE)	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.27%E -3.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.11%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-07-16 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.27%EV -8.27%E -3.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.05%EV -9.79%E -4.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -7.61%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-07-17 00:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.