La scuola delle quote

Chicago Fire v Portland Timbers

2026-08-16 22:00 UTC — MLS

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17 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chicago Fire (Casa)

Previsione 57.22%1.75quota equa
EV -2.15%
Vantaggio -1.26%
Kelly -3.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.13%56.91%57.43%57.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.631.631.7165.79%61.48%61.35%58.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Portland Timbers (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.35%4.68quota equa
EV -1.14%
Vantaggio -0.246%
Kelly -0.313%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.75%21.40%21.32%22.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.704.244.334.6327.03%23.61%23.09%21.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 21.43%4.67quota equa
EV -3.58%
Vantaggio -0.795%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.51%21.68%21.25%23.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.144.054.5026.32%24.15%24.69%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (17 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.80%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.98%EV -1.14%E -0.246%K -0.313%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.23%EV -6.36%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-26 13:55
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.42%EV -3.87%E -2.30%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -8.18%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -5.72%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 13:45
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.12%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -6.05%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%EV -3.58%E -0.795%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 13:45
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -7.54%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -16.43%E -4.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 13:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -7.54%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -16.43%E -4.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 13:05
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -7.54%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -16.43%E -4.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 13:00
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -7.54%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -16.43%E -4.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 13:00
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.27%EV -5.02%E -3.02%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -6.05%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -3.58%E -0.795%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 13:46
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.28%EV -6.73%E -4.13%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -3.91%E -0.869%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -8.93%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 13:44
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.20%EV -7.30%E -4.51%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.54%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.22%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 13:48
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 55.85%EV -7.30%E -4.51%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.80%EV -11.39%E -2.74%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.34%EV -13.22%E -3.26%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 13:05
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.88%E -4.89%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -6.05%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.72%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 13:45
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -8.45%E -5.28%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.59%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.29%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-26 13:45
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 55.87%EV -10.74%E -6.88%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.35%EV -16.72%E -4.29%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.79%EV -14.29%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-26 13:05
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -11.31%E -7.30%K -20.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -14.59%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -7.22%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-26 11:58
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 55.96%EV -11.88%E -7.72%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 21.65%EV -15.02%E -3.77%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.38%EV -17.50%E -4.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-26 13:05
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 55.22%EV -13.03%E -8.57%K -25.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.69%EV -20.99%E -5.67%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.09%EV -18.57%E -4.89%K -6.63%G +0.000%19.1%2026-07-26 13:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 55.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.09%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.67%16.1%2026-07-26 13:15