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Chicago Fire v New York City FC
Head to Head
Chicago Fire (Local)
Prediction 52.71%1.90fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -4.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.89%52.86%52.85%54.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.731.751.8363.29%57.85%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York City FC (Visit)
Prediction 23.67%4.23fair odd
EV +0.589%
Edge +0.139%
Kelly +0.181%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.26%23.61%23.64%24.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.863.804.2528.17%25.93%26.32%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.62%4.23fair odd
EV +0.385%
Edge +0.091%
Kelly +0.118%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.06%23.54%23.51%24.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.683.893.854.2527.17%25.71%25.97%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago Fire (Local): 52.71%; New York City FC (Visit): 23.67%; Draw: 23.62%. For New York City FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.23. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.25, producing a positive expected value of +0.589%.
Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.17%E -3.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.26%EV +0.589%E +0.139%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-21 08:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.17%E -3.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.26%EV +0.589%E +0.139%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-21 08:33 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.54%E -1.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.52%EV -2.49%E -0.604%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.52%EV -2.69%E -0.652%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-21 09:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -6.17%E -3.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV +0.385%E +0.091%K +0.118%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-21 07:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.17%E -3.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-21 07:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.28%E -4.76%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-21 07:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.91%EV -7.23%E -4.11%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.51%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.52%EV -6.46%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-21 09:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -6.17%E -3.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -3.16%E -0.770%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-21 07:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -9.86%E -5.77%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -0.796%E -0.190%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-21 07:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -9.86%E -5.77%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-21 07:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.75%E -4.43%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -10.06%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-21 07:43 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -7.75%E -4.43%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.06%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-21 08:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -7.75%E -4.43%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.06%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-21 08:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -7.75%E -4.43%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.06%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-21 08:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -7.75%E -4.43%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.06%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-21 08:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -8.81%E -5.09%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -10.06%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-21 07:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 53.94%EV -16.72%E -10.58%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.03%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.03%EV -12.61%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-09-21 07:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.18%EV -14.61%E -9.02%K -23.56%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 23.41%EV -12.90%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 23.41%EV -13.08%E -3.55%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-09-21 07:38 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -12.50%E -7.53%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -13.61%E -3.73%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-21 07:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -10.39%E -6.11%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -14.79%E -4.11%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -10.24%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-21 07:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -10.39%E -6.11%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -14.79%E -4.11%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -10.24%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-21 07:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 52.65%EV -13.55%E -8.26%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.32%EV -15.98%E -4.50%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-09-21 07:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.