The School of Odds
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Chicago Fire v Charlotte FC

2026-11-22 23:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Fire (Local)

Prediction 59.64%1.68fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.966%
Kelly -2.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.79%59.12%59.15%61.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.541.531.6570.92%64.79%65.36%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte FC (Visit)

Prediction 20.13%4.97fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.275%
Kelly -0.346%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.07%20.41%20.36%22.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.374.314.9025.64%22.87%23.17%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.23%4.94fair odd
EV +2.55%
Edge +0.503%
Kelly +0.626%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 5.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.84%20.47%20.49%22.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.444.405.0725.00%22.53%22.73%19.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago Fire (Local): 59.64%; Charlotte FC (Visit): 20.13%; Draw: 20.23%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.94. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.07, producing a positive expected value of +2.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.97%EV -5.17%E -3.25%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.91%EV -1.95%E -0.401%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 19.12%EV +2.55%E +0.503%K +0.626%G +0.016%3.2%2026-11-10 16:10
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.56%E -4.88%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -1.35%E -0.275%K -0.346%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -0.891%E -0.182%K -0.228%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 16:10
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -9.94%E -6.58%K -19.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -1.35%E -0.275%K -0.346%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -0.891%E -0.182%K -0.228%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-10 16:10
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.78%EV -6.96%E -4.46%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.59%EV -2.56%E -0.528%K -0.666%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.63%EV -2.31%E -0.478%K -0.602%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-10 16:50
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.82%EV -8.75%E -5.72%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -4.37%E -0.920%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -3.92%E -0.826%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-10 16:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.82%EV -8.75%E -5.72%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -4.37%E -0.920%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -3.92%E -0.826%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-10 16:13
Bet Victor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 58.95%EV -12.33%E -8.39%K -26.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.22%EV -21.48%E -5.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.84%EV -6.96%E -1.51%K -1.93%G +0.000%15.4%2026-11-10 16:10
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -6.96%E -4.46%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -9.40%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -8.98%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-10 16:19
picklebet_au🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.56%E -4.88%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -9.40%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -8.98%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-10 16:09
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.25%EV -8.75%E -5.72%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -9.40%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.60%EV -11.00%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-10 16:09
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.70%EV -8.75%E -5.72%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -13.43%E -3.12%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.41%EV -11.00%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-10 16:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.59%EV -10.54%E -7.03%K -21.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -17.45%E -4.26%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -11.00%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%13.8%2026-11-10 16:00
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.07%EV -10.54%E -7.03%K -21.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.46%EV -12.82%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.46%EV -12.42%E -2.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.9%2026-11-10 16:41
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.09%EV -11.73%E -7.93%K -24.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.34%EV -13.43%E -3.12%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.58%EV -14.04%E -3.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.4%2026-11-10 16:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 58.22%EV -12.33%E -8.39%K -26.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.40%EV -19.47%E -4.87%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.38%EV -15.05%E -3.58%K -4.70%G +0.000%16.8%2026-11-10 16:09
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -1.59%E -0.966%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -19.47%E -4.87%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -19.09%E -4.77%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-10 16:00
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -1.59%E -0.966%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -19.47%E -4.87%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -19.09%E -4.77%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-10 15:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -1.59%E -0.966%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -19.47%E -4.87%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -19.09%E -4.77%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-10 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -1.59%E -0.966%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -19.47%E -4.87%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -19.09%E -4.77%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-10 15:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 58.65%EV -15.91%E -11.28%K -38.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.67%EV -19.47%E -4.87%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.67%EV -19.09%E -4.77%K -6.36%G +0.000%20.9%2026-11-10 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%4.1%2026-11-10 15:50

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