L’École des cotes

Chicago Fire v CF Montreal

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 19:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago Fire (Local)

Prévision 61.01%1.64cote équitable
EV -1.16%
Avantage -0.717%
Kelly -1.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.99%60.77%61.08%62.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.541.551.6272.46%64.83%64.52%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

CF Montreal (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.45%5.73cote équitable
EV +2.96%
Avantage +0.501%
Kelly +0.603%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 5.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.19%17.50%17.36%19.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.555.215.205.9021.98%19.18%19.23%16.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.54%4.64cote équitable
EV -0.926%
Avantage -0.201%
Kelly -0.257%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.41%21.72%21.56%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.204.204.6027.78%23.83%23.81%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%EV -5.43%E -3.50%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +2.96%E +0.501%K +0.603%G +0.018%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -7.39%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 19:24
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%EV -5.43%E -3.50%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +2.96%E +0.501%K +0.603%G +0.018%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -7.39%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 19:23
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.25%EV -5.43%E -3.50%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.78%EV +0.340%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.97%EV -0.926%E -0.201%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 18:49
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.25%EV -5.43%E -3.50%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.78%EV +0.340%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.97%EV -0.926%E -0.201%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 18:49
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.66%EV -5.43%E -3.50%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.62%EV +0.340%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -5.23%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 19:10
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 61.32%EV -3.60%E -2.28%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 17.06%EV -0.882%E -0.155%K -0.188%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.63%EV -3.51%E -0.784%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 19:24
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81%EV -4.82%E -3.09%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 17.00%EV -1.06%E -0.186%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.19%EV -2.00%E -0.440%K -0.564%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 19:04
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.34%EV -4.82%E -3.09%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.26%EV -3.08%E -0.684%K -0.880%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 19:00
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -5.43%E -3.50%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.83%EV -6.74%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 18:50
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.29%EV -2.99%E -1.88%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -13.85%E -3.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 19:06
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 61.35%EV -6.65%E -4.35%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -6.31%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 19:24
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 61.35%EV -6.65%E -4.35%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -6.31%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 19:24
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -6.65%E -4.35%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -6.74%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 19:25
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -6.65%E -4.35%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -6.74%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 19:24
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -6.65%E -4.35%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.39%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 18:49
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -7.26%E -4.78%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -8.46%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 19:09
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 59.32%EV -1.16%E -0.717%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.80%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 19:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.32%EV -1.16%E -0.717%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.80%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 19:04
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.32%EV -1.16%E -0.717%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.80%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 19:04
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.32%EV -1.16%E -0.717%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.80%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 19:05
MyBookie.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.45%EV -6.04%E -3.92%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.52%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -3.08%E -0.684%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 19:14
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 61.16%EV -6.04%E -3.92%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -5.23%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 19:24
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.37%EV -7.26%E -4.78%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -6.64%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.23%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 19:25
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 60.14%EV -3.60%E -2.28%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.86%EV -7.16%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.00%EV -6.96%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 18:55
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -8.48%E -5.65%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -7.51%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -7.39%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 18:54
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -4.82%E -3.09%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -8.39%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -3.08%E -0.684%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:54
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -6.65%E -4.35%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -8.39%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -7.39%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 19:09
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 60.23%EV -7.26%E -4.78%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -8.39%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -11.69%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 19:09
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -4.21%E -2.68%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.69%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 19:05
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -4.21%E -2.68%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.69%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 19:09
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -4.21%E -2.68%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.69%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 19:04
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -4.21%E -2.68%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.69%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 19:04
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -4.21%E -2.68%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.69%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 19:04
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -4.21%E -2.68%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.69%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 19:04
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -4.21%E -2.68%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.69%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 19:04
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -4.21%E -2.68%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.69%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 19:04
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -5.43%E -3.50%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -11.00%E -2.16%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.85%E -3.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 19:04
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -5.43%E -3.50%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -3.08%E -0.684%K -0.880%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 19:24
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 59.71%EV -5.43%E -3.50%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -8.46%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 18:54
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -4.21%E -2.68%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.85%E -3.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 18:55
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -4.21%E -2.68%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.85%E -3.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 18:54
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -4.21%E -2.68%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.85%E -3.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 18:55
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -4.21%E -2.68%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.85%E -3.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 18:54
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -8.48%E -5.65%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -3.08%E -0.684%K -0.880%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 18:49
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.48%E -5.65%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -6.74%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 18:49
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.48%E -5.65%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 18:50
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.21%EV -7.26%E -4.78%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -14.93%E -3.78%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 19:05
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.21%EV -7.26%E -4.78%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -14.93%E -3.78%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 19:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -12.14%E -8.43%K -27.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -22.46%E -6.24%K -8.64%G +0.000%17.2%2026-02-28 18:55
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 59.60%EV -6.65%E -4.35%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.42%EV -13.62%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.97%EV -10.62%E -2.56%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 19:10
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.87%EV -7.26%E -4.78%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -7.39%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 18:54
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 60.58%EV -15.80%E -11.45%K -41.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.42%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.00%EV -18.16%E -4.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%19.6%2026-02-28 18:49
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.40%EV -9.70%E -6.56%K -20.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.51%EV -17.11%E -3.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.09%EV -14.28%E -3.59%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-28 19:04
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.13%EV -10.31%E -7.02%K -21.94%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.69%EV -18.86%E -4.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 22.17%EV -15.57%E -3.97%K -5.33%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-28 19:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -5.43%E -3.50%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -19.73%E -4.29%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -13.85%E -3.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -5.43%E -3.50%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -19.73%E -4.29%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -13.85%E -3.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 18:49
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -5.43%E -3.50%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -19.73%E -4.29%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -13.85%E -3.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 18:49
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -5.43%E -3.50%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -19.73%E -4.29%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -13.85%E -3.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 18:49
Parions Sport (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 59.15%EV -12.75%E -8.92%K -29.66%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 18.59%EV -20.60%E -4.53%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.26%EV -18.16%E -4.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%18.2%2026-02-28 19:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%1.2%2026-02-28 19:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-02-28 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.24%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38%1.7%2026-02-28 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.24%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38%1.7%2026-02-28 19:25
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57%1.9%2026-02-28 19:19
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.66%2.6%2026-02-28 19:24