La escuela de los momios

Chicago Fire v CF Montreal

Inicio: 2026-02-28 19:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago Fire (Local)

Predicción 61.01%1.64momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.717%
Kelly -1.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.99%60.77%61.08%62.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.541.551.6272.46%64.83%64.52%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

CF Montreal (Visitante)

Predicción 17.45%5.73momio equitativo
EV +2.96%
Ventaja +0.501%
Kelly +0.603%
Crecimiento +0.018%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.19%17.50%17.36%19.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.555.215.205.9021.98%19.18%19.23%16.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.54%4.64momio equitativo
EV -0.926%
Ventaja -0.201%
Kelly -0.257%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.41%21.72%21.56%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.204.204.6027.78%23.83%23.81%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%EV -5.43%E -3.50%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +2.96%E +0.501%K +0.603%G +0.018%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -7.39%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 19:24
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%EV -5.43%E -3.50%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +2.96%E +0.501%K +0.603%G +0.018%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -7.39%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 19:23
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.25%EV -5.43%E -3.50%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.78%EV +0.340%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.97%EV -0.926%E -0.201%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 18:49
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.25%EV -5.43%E -3.50%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.78%EV +0.340%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.97%EV -0.926%E -0.201%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 18:49
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.66%EV -5.43%E -3.50%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.62%EV +0.340%E +0.059%K +0.071%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -5.23%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 19:10
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 61.32%EV -3.60%E -2.28%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 17.06%EV -0.882%E -0.155%K -0.188%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.63%EV -3.51%E -0.784%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 19:24
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81%EV -4.82%E -3.09%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 17.00%EV -1.06%E -0.186%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.19%EV -2.00%E -0.440%K -0.564%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 19:04
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.34%EV -4.82%E -3.09%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.26%EV -3.08%E -0.684%K -0.880%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 19:00
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -5.43%E -3.50%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.83%EV -6.74%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 18:50
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.29%EV -2.99%E -1.88%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -13.85%E -3.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 19:06
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 61.35%EV -6.65%E -4.35%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -6.31%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 19:24
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 61.35%EV -6.65%E -4.35%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -6.31%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 19:24
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -6.65%E -4.35%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -6.74%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 19:25
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -6.65%E -4.35%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -6.74%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 19:24
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -6.65%E -4.35%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.39%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 18:49
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -7.26%E -4.78%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -4.02%E -0.731%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -8.46%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 19:09
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 59.32%EV -1.16%E -0.717%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.80%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 19:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.32%EV -1.16%E -0.717%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.80%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 19:04
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.32%EV -1.16%E -0.717%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.80%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 19:04
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.32%EV -1.16%E -0.717%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.80%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 19:05
MyBookie.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.45%EV -6.04%E -3.92%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.52%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -3.08%E -0.684%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 19:14
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 61.16%EV -6.04%E -3.92%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.77%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -5.23%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 19:24
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.37%EV -7.26%E -4.78%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -6.64%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.23%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 19:25
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 60.14%EV -3.60%E -2.28%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.86%EV -7.16%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.00%EV -6.96%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 18:55
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -8.48%E -5.65%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -7.51%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -7.39%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 18:54
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -4.82%E -3.09%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -8.39%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -3.08%E -0.684%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:54
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -6.65%E -4.35%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -8.39%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -7.39%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 19:09
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 60.23%EV -7.26%E -4.78%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -8.39%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -11.69%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 19:09
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -4.21%E -2.68%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.69%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 19:05
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -4.21%E -2.68%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.69%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 19:09
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -4.21%E -2.68%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.69%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 19:04
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -4.21%E -2.68%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.69%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 19:04
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -4.21%E -2.68%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.69%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 19:04
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -4.21%E -2.68%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.69%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 19:04
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -4.21%E -2.68%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.69%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 19:04
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -4.21%E -2.68%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.26%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.69%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 19:04
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -5.43%E -3.50%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -11.00%E -2.16%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.85%E -3.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 19:04
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -5.43%E -3.50%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -3.08%E -0.684%K -0.880%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 19:24
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 59.71%EV -5.43%E -3.50%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -8.46%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 18:54
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -4.21%E -2.68%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.85%E -3.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 18:55
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -4.21%E -2.68%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.85%E -3.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 18:54
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -4.21%E -2.68%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.85%E -3.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 18:55
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -4.21%E -2.68%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.85%E -3.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 18:54
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -8.48%E -5.65%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -3.08%E -0.684%K -0.880%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 18:49
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.48%E -5.65%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -6.74%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 18:49
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.48%E -5.65%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 18:50
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.21%EV -7.26%E -4.78%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -14.93%E -3.78%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 19:05
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.21%EV -7.26%E -4.78%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -14.93%E -3.78%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 19:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -12.14%E -8.43%K -27.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -12.75%E -2.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -22.46%E -6.24%K -8.64%G +0.000%17.2%2026-02-28 18:55
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 59.60%EV -6.65%E -4.35%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.42%EV -13.62%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.97%EV -10.62%E -2.56%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 19:10
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.87%EV -7.26%E -4.78%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -7.39%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 18:54
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 60.58%EV -15.80%E -11.45%K -41.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.42%EV -16.24%E -3.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.00%EV -18.16%E -4.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%19.6%2026-02-28 18:49
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.40%EV -9.70%E -6.56%K -20.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.51%EV -17.11%E -3.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.09%EV -14.28%E -3.59%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-28 19:04
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.13%EV -10.31%E -7.02%K -21.94%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.69%EV -18.86%E -4.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 22.17%EV -15.57%E -3.97%K -5.33%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-28 19:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -5.43%E -3.50%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -19.73%E -4.29%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -13.85%E -3.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -5.43%E -3.50%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -19.73%E -4.29%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -13.85%E -3.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 18:49
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -5.43%E -3.50%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -19.73%E -4.29%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -13.85%E -3.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 18:49
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -5.43%E -3.50%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -19.73%E -4.29%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -13.85%E -3.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 18:49
Parions Sport (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 59.15%EV -12.75%E -8.92%K -29.66%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 18.59%EV -20.60%E -4.53%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.26%EV -18.16%E -4.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%18.2%2026-02-28 19:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%1.2%2026-02-28 19:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-02-28 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.24%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38%1.7%2026-02-28 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.24%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38%1.7%2026-02-28 19:25
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57%1.9%2026-02-28 19:19
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.66%2.6%2026-02-28 19:24