La escuela de los momios

Charlotte FC v Philadelphia Union

Inicio: 2026-04-04 23:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Charlotte FC (Local)

Predicción 42.20%2.37momio equitativo
EV -2.94%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -2.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.82%42.23%42.13%43.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.182.202.3048.78%45.81%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Philadelphia Union (Visitante)

Predicción 31.00%3.23momio equitativo
EV +0.754%
Ventaja +0.232%
Kelly +0.335%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.33%30.93%31.06%31.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.043.053.2535.71%32.88%32.79%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.80%3.73momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -0.448%
Kelly -0.615%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.82%26.84%26.80%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.453.453.6733.33%28.95%28.99%27.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 43.54%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV +0.754%E +0.232%K +0.335%G +0.003%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.54%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV +0.754%E +0.232%K +0.335%G +0.003%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 23:24
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.54%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV +0.754%E +0.232%K +0.335%G +0.003%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 23:25
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.54%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV +0.754%E +0.232%K +0.335%G +0.003%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 23:25
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -0.796%E -0.249%K -0.362%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 23:24
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -0.796%E -0.249%K -0.362%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 23:25
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -0.796%E -0.249%K -0.362%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 23:25
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -0.796%E -0.249%K -0.362%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 23:25
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -0.796%E -0.249%K -0.362%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 23:24
Bally Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -0.796%E -0.249%K -0.362%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 23:25
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.24%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.51%EV -1.73%E -0.545%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 23:15
BetOnline.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.27%EV -5.90%E -2.64%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.44%EV -1.73%E -0.545%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.29%EV -1.64%E -0.448%K -0.615%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 22:50
LowVig.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.27%EV -5.90%E -2.64%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.44%EV -1.73%E -0.545%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.29%EV -1.64%E -0.448%K -0.615%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 22:50
BetAnything2.23I 44.84%NM 43.27%EV -5.90%E -2.64%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.44%EV -1.73%E -0.545%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.29%EV -1.64%E -0.448%K -0.615%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 22:49
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 22:50
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 23:24
1xBet2.28I 43.86%NM 42.54%EV -3.79%E -1.66%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.89%EV -2.66%E -0.846%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV -2.18%E -0.597%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 23:24
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.38%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -3.90%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 23:19
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -3.90%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 21:45
MyBookie.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -3.90%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 21:24
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.90%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 22:54
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.90%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 22:55
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -3.90%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 22:54
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -3.90%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 23:25
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -3.90%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 23:24
GTbets2.17I 46.08%NM 43.16%EV -8.43%E -3.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.61%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.23%EV -4.32%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 15:44
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.79%E -1.66%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -5.45%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 23:04
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.79%E -1.66%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -5.45%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 23:05
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -5.45%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 23:04
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.54%EV -12.65%E -6.11%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -5.45%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-04 22:50
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.54%EV -12.65%E -6.11%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -5.45%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-04 22:50
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.18%EV -6.74%E -3.05%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -6.38%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.94%EV -7.27%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 23:03
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 23:05
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -2.94%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 23:03
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 15:40
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 22:54
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 23:05
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 23:09
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 23:03
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 22:55
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 23:05
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.55%E -2.90%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 23:05
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -8.55%E -2.90%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 23:01
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 23:04
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 23:14
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 23:15
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 23:14
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 23:14
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 21:45
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.84%EV -12.23%E -5.88%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.44%EV -9.68%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 23:08
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.72%E -3.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-04 21:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.72%E -3.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-04 21:54
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -11.03%E -3.84%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 21:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -11.03%E -3.84%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 21:54
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.55%EV -13.49%E -6.58%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -11.65%E -4.09%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.84%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-04 23:04
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -13.20%E -4.71%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 23:04
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -13.49%E -6.58%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -13.20%E -4.71%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-04 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -13.20%E -4.71%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -19.60%E -6.53%K -9.80%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-04 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-04-04 23:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-04-04 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-04-04 23:15
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-04-04 23:15
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.36%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.93%1.8%2026-04-04 23:15
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-04-04 23:20