The School of Odds

Charlotte FC v Atlanta United FC

2026-07-23 00:15 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Charlotte FC (Local)

Prediction 56.64%1.77fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -3.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%56.55%56.64%57.87%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.541.631.621.7265%61%62%58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Atlanta United FC (Visit)

Prediction 19.75%5.06fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -0.535%
Kelly -0.671%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.41%19.83%19.75%21.38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.954.534.504.9325%22%22%20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 23.61%4.24fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -0.779%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.72%23.62%23.61%24.52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.553.853.834.1028%26%26%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 56.48%EV -2.58%E -1.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.71%EV -2.64%E -0.535%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.81%EV -3.67%E -0.899%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-12 10:20
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -4.85%E -2.88%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -7.18%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 08:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -5.41%E -3.24%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.46%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 10:09
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -5.41%E -3.24%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.46%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 10:09
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -5.41%E -3.24%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.46%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 10:09
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -5.41%E -3.24%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.46%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 10:09
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.35%EV -5.98%E -3.60%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.43%EV -3.23%E -0.659%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.20%E -0.779%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 08:59
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.55%EV -6.54%E -3.97%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -6.19%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -7.45%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 10:19
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -8.24%E -5.09%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -6.19%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 08:59
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -8.24%E -5.09%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -10.28%E -2.70%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-12 14:04
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -8.81%E -5.47%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -5.20%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -3.20%E -0.779%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 08:59
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.81%E -5.47%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -9.15%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 10:17
betano_uk1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.81%E -5.47%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -9.15%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 10:20
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 56.20%EV -9.38%E -5.86%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -13.10%E -2.98%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -9.10%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-12 14:09
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.67%EV -9.38%E -5.86%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -14.48%E -3.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -11.46%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 09:05
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 55.49%EV -11.64%E -7.46%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.11%EV -19.03%E -4.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.40%EV -12.64%E -3.42%K -4.68%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-12 14:04
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 55.63%EV -12.21%E -7.88%K -22.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.29%EV -16.06%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.08%EV -15.47%E -4.32%K -6.00%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-12 14:03
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 54.83%EV -12.78%E -8.30%K -23.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.38%EV -21.99%E -5.57%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.79%EV -16.18%E -4.56%K -6.35%G +0.000%18.4%2026-07-12 14:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 54.76%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.83%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.41%17.1%2026-07-12 14:05