The School of Odds

CF Montreal v New England Revolution

2026-08-01 23:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

CF Montreal (Local)

Prediction 42.54%2.35fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -0.942%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.35%42.36%42.63%43.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.192.202.3048.78%45.62%45.45%43.48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New England Revolution (Visit)

Prediction 30.61%3.27fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -0.837%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.16%30.87%30.49%32.47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.752.983.003.1836.36%33.58%33.33%31.45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 26.85%3.72fair odd
EV -0.639%
Edge -0.173%
Kelly -0.237%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.89%26.77%26.88%27.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.223.463.483.7031.06%28.90%28.74%27.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.64%EV -2.17%E -0.942%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.47%EV -9.70%E -3.29%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -0.639%E -0.173%K -0.237%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 23:59
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -2.17%E -0.942%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -9.70%E -3.29%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.32%E -0.924%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 23:59
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.02%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -6.64%E -2.18%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -4.67%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 23:54
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.02%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -6.64%E -2.18%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -4.67%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 23:54
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 42.72%EV -3.44%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.49%EV -2.66%E -0.837%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.79%EV -2.79%E -0.770%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-26 00:59
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.29%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.70%E -3.29%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.32%E -0.924%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 00:50
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -4.29%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -11.23%E -3.87%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.32%E -0.924%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 23:59
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.29%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -11.84%E -4.11%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.32%E -0.924%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 00:00
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 42.73%EV -5.15%E -2.31%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.35%EV -3.88%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.92%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 00:50
GTbets2.22I 45.05%NM 42.88%EV -5.57%E -2.51%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22%EV -3.58%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.89%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 00:05
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.11%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 00:45
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.11%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 00:50
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -9.70%E -3.29%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.32%E -0.924%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 00:05
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -11.84%E -4.11%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 23:59
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 00:45
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 00:44
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 00:44
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 00:45
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -12.76%E -4.48%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 00:49
MyBookie.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -6.85%E -3.13%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.42%EV -6.95%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.36%EV -9.23%E -2.73%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 23:58
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.76%EV -7.27%E -3.34%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.46%EV -6.33%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -6.55%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 00:50
betano_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 23:54
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 23:54
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 23:54
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -15.82%E -5.75%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 00:05
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.67%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.67%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.84%E -4.11%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-26 00:05
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.67%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.84%E -4.11%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-26 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -10.67%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.15%E -4.23%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 00:05
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -10.67%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.15%E -4.23%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 00:04
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.67%EV -12.80%E -6.24%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.23%E -3.87%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.17%EV -13.53%E -4.20%K -6.09%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-25 23:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%13.8%2026-07-25 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-26 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-26 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-26 00:10