Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austin FC v St. Louis City SC

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 21:30 UTC

Final: Austin FC 2–0 St. Louis City SC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austin FC (Local)

Prediction 37.57%2.66fair odd
EV +1.43%
Edge +0.528%
Kelly +0.839%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.27%37.53%37.64%38.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.522.502.7042.55%39.72%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis City SC (Visit)

Prediction 35.71%2.80fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.657%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.53%35.79%35.59%37.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.562.552.7541.67%39.03%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.73%3.74fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.372%
Kelly -0.510%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.30%26.68%26.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.463.463.6933.33%28.87%28.94%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Austin FC (Local): 37.57%; St. Louis City SC (Visit): 35.71%; Draw: 26.73%. For Austin FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.47%EV +1.43%E +0.528%K +0.839%G +0.012%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.56%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 21:16
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.47%EV +1.43%E +0.528%K +0.839%G +0.012%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.56%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 21:16
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.47%EV +1.43%E +0.528%K +0.839%G +0.012%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.56%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 21:16
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.47%EV +1.43%E +0.528%K +0.839%G +0.012%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.56%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 21:16
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.64%EV -0.452%E -0.170%K -0.274%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.30%EV -1.81%E -0.657%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.06%EV -7.52%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 21:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -0.452%E -0.170%K -0.274%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 21:16
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -0.452%E -0.170%K -0.274%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 21:20
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -0.452%E -0.170%K -0.274%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 21:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -0.452%E -0.170%K -0.274%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 21:20
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -0.452%E -0.170%K -0.274%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 21:20
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -0.452%E -0.170%K -0.274%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 21:20
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -1.20%E -0.457%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 21:16
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -1.20%E -0.457%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 21:14
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -3.78%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 21:19
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 21:26
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -2.33%E -0.896%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -11.45%E -4.62%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 21:16
GTbets🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.79%EV -2.71%E -1.04%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.42%EV -3.95%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.78%EV -8.32%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 21:00
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.97%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.73%EV -3.24%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.31%EV -1.64%E -0.446%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 21:20
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.41%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -3.59%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 21:05
Caesars🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 21:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.78%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 21:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.58%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -13.23%E -5.45%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 21:16
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -14.30%E -5.96%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -11.80%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 21:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -14.30%E -5.96%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -11.80%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 21:21
MyBookie.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.29%EV -4.96%E -1.96%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.60%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.11%EV -6.99%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 21:05
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -5.34%E -2.12%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.48%EV -4.31%E -1.61%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 21:16
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -5.34%E -2.12%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.48%EV -4.31%E -1.61%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 21:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -1.81%E -0.657%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.19%EV -1.37%E -0.372%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 21:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -1.81%E -0.657%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.19%EV -1.37%E -0.372%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 21:25
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -3.59%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 21:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 21:05
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 21:05
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.16%E -2.76%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 21:20
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.16%E -2.76%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 21:05
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 21:00
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 21:15
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 21:01
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 21:10
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.16%E -2.76%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 21:25
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 21:20
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -6.09%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -12.52%E -5.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 21:21
Bovada🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -6.84%E -2.76%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.61%EV -5.74%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 21:19
BetAnything🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -6.84%E -2.76%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.61%EV -5.74%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 21:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -6.84%E -2.76%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -6.99%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 21:16
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -6.09%E -2.32%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.78%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 21:14
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -7.16%E -2.76%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 21:05
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 21:11
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 21:20
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 21:15
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 21:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 21:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 21:10
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -3.59%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 21:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 21:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.15%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -12.52%E -5.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 21:16
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -12.52%E -5.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 21:16
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -12.52%E -5.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 21:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -12.52%E -5.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 21:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -14.30%E -5.96%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -19.82%E -6.61%K -9.91%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-03 20:35
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -3.78%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 21:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.73%EV -10.97%E -4.63%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 35.34%EV -9.66%E -3.82%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.93%EV -11.26%E -3.39%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-03 21:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.97%EV -11.72%E -4.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.80%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 21:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.58%EV -11.72%E -4.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.05%EV -12.52%E -5.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-03 21:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.33%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-05-03 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.51%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.36%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-05-03 21:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.51%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.36%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-05-03 21:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.51%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.36%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-05-03 21:20
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 37.91%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.91%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18%3.0%2026-05-03 21:21