L’École des cotes

Austin FC v LA Galaxy

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 18:36 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Austin FC (Local)

Prévision 39.22%2.55cote équitable
EV -2.73%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -1.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.87%39.25%39.26%42.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.142.332.352.4846.73%42.99%42.55%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

LA Galaxy (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.73%2.96cote équitable
EV -0.494%
Avantage -0.167%
Kelly -0.253%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.68%33.75%33.75%34.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.772.802.9539.22%36.04%35.71%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.05%3.70cote équitable
EV +4.13%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +1.45%
Croissance +0.060%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.87%27.01%26.99%28.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.523.453.8530.77%28.43%28.99%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -10.57%E -4.64%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68%EV -0.494%E -0.167%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.04%EV +4.13%E +1.07%K +1.45%G +0.060%3.7%2026-04-11 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -10.57%E -4.64%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68%EV -0.494%E -0.167%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.04%EV +4.13%E +1.07%K +1.45%G +0.060%3.7%2026-04-11 18:35
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -10.57%E -4.64%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68%EV -0.494%E -0.167%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.04%EV +4.13%E +1.07%K +1.45%G +0.060%3.7%2026-04-11 18:35
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -10.57%E -4.64%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68%EV -0.494%E -0.167%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.04%EV +4.13%E +1.07%K +1.45%G +0.060%3.7%2026-04-11 18:35
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 40.12%EV -5.08%E -2.10%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.06%EV -3.87%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.82%EV +1.69%E +0.450%K +0.613%G +0.010%3.0%2026-04-11 18:29
GTbets2.38I 42.02%NM 40.32%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.15%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.52%EV +1.69%E +0.450%K +0.613%G +0.010%4.2%2026-04-11 18:29
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV +1.42%E +0.379%K +0.517%G +0.007%4.7%2026-04-11 18:29
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.07%EV -12.53%E -5.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -3.87%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV +1.42%E +0.379%K +0.517%G +0.007%6.6%2026-04-11 18:34
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.07%EV -12.53%E -5.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -3.87%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV +1.42%E +0.379%K +0.517%G +0.007%6.6%2026-04-11 18:34
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.07%EV -12.53%E -5.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -3.87%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV +1.42%E +0.379%K +0.517%G +0.007%6.6%2026-04-11 18:35
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.07%EV -12.53%E -5.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -3.87%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV +1.42%E +0.379%K +0.517%G +0.007%6.6%2026-04-11 18:35
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.07%EV -12.53%E -5.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -3.87%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV +1.42%E +0.379%K +0.517%G +0.007%6.6%2026-04-11 18:35
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.07%EV -12.53%E -5.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -3.87%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV +1.42%E +0.379%K +0.517%G +0.007%6.6%2026-04-11 18:35
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.71%E -6.23%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -3.87%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +1.42%E +0.379%K +0.517%G +0.007%7.2%2026-04-11 18:34
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -14.49%E -6.65%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV +0.069%E +0.019%K +0.025%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 18:34
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.07%EV -15.28%E -7.07%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -1.28%E -0.352%K -0.484%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:35
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.64%E -0.732%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 18:34
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.93%E -3.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -2.64%E -0.732%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 18:29
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.15%EV -16.06%E -7.51%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.80%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -2.64%E -0.732%K -1.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 18:35
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.15%EV -16.06%E -7.51%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.80%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -2.64%E -0.732%K -1.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 18:35
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.95%EV -2.73%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.77%EV -3.53%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.28%EV -4.26%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 18:35
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.95%EV -2.73%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.77%EV -3.53%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.28%EV -4.26%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 18:34
BetAnything2.48I 40.32%NM 38.95%EV -2.73%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.77%EV -3.53%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.28%EV -4.26%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 18:35
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.34%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 18:32
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.93%E -3.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.34%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 18:29
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.93%E -3.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.34%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 18:32
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -10.61%E -4.00%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.34%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 18:29
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.93%E -3.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -5.34%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:35
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 39.34%EV -5.08%E -2.10%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -2.85%E -0.991%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -6.69%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 18:30
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.34%EV -5.08%E -2.10%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -2.85%E -0.991%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -6.69%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 18:30
Pinnacle2.42I 41.32%NM 38.98%EV -5.08%E -2.10%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.69%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 18:35
MyBookie.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -12.30%E -4.73%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -6.69%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 18:34
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -3.19%E -1.11%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 18:35
Caesars2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 18:35
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -3.87%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 18:35
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -3.87%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 18:30
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -3.87%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 18:34
BetUS2.41I 41.49%NM 38.92%EV -5.47%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 18:30
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 18:31
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -5.89%E -2.11%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 18:29
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 18:35
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -11.62%E -4.44%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 18:35
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.93%E -3.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 18:29
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.93%E -3.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 18:29
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.93%E -3.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -8.93%E -3.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 18:29
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -8.93%E -3.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 18:29
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.62%E -4.44%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 18:32
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 18:29
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.36%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 18:29
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -10.61%E -4.00%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 18:34
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -13.71%E -6.23%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -8.93%E -3.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 18:29
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -10.75%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 18:35
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -12.30%E -4.73%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -10.75%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-11 18:35
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 18:35
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -7.04%E -2.97%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -12.30%E -4.73%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -7.04%E -2.97%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -12.30%E -4.73%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 18:34
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -13.99%E -5.48%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.89%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-11 18:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-04-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-04-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-04-11 18:35
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.38%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-04-11 18:35
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 37.65%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.0%2026-04-11 18:35