La escuela de los momios

Austin FC v LA Galaxy

Inicio: 2026-04-11 18:36 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Austin FC (Local)

Predicción 39.22%2.55momio equitativo
EV -2.73%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -1.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.87%39.25%39.26%42.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.142.332.352.4846.73%42.99%42.55%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

LA Galaxy (Visitante)

Predicción 33.73%2.96momio equitativo
EV -0.494%
Ventaja -0.167%
Kelly -0.253%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.68%33.75%33.75%34.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.772.802.9539.22%36.04%35.71%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.05%3.70momio equitativo
EV +4.13%
Ventaja +1.07%
Kelly +1.45%
Crecimiento +0.060%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.87%27.01%26.99%28.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.523.453.8530.77%28.43%28.99%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -10.57%E -4.64%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68%EV -0.494%E -0.167%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.04%EV +4.13%E +1.07%K +1.45%G +0.060%3.7%2026-04-11 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -10.57%E -4.64%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68%EV -0.494%E -0.167%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.04%EV +4.13%E +1.07%K +1.45%G +0.060%3.7%2026-04-11 18:35
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -10.57%E -4.64%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68%EV -0.494%E -0.167%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.04%EV +4.13%E +1.07%K +1.45%G +0.060%3.7%2026-04-11 18:35
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -10.57%E -4.64%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68%EV -0.494%E -0.167%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.04%EV +4.13%E +1.07%K +1.45%G +0.060%3.7%2026-04-11 18:35
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 40.12%EV -5.08%E -2.10%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.06%EV -3.87%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.82%EV +1.69%E +0.450%K +0.613%G +0.010%3.0%2026-04-11 18:29
GTbets2.38I 42.02%NM 40.32%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.15%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.52%EV +1.69%E +0.450%K +0.613%G +0.010%4.2%2026-04-11 18:29
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV +1.42%E +0.379%K +0.517%G +0.007%4.7%2026-04-11 18:29
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.07%EV -12.53%E -5.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -3.87%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV +1.42%E +0.379%K +0.517%G +0.007%6.6%2026-04-11 18:34
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.07%EV -12.53%E -5.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -3.87%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV +1.42%E +0.379%K +0.517%G +0.007%6.6%2026-04-11 18:34
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.07%EV -12.53%E -5.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -3.87%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV +1.42%E +0.379%K +0.517%G +0.007%6.6%2026-04-11 18:35
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.07%EV -12.53%E -5.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -3.87%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV +1.42%E +0.379%K +0.517%G +0.007%6.6%2026-04-11 18:35
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.07%EV -12.53%E -5.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -3.87%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV +1.42%E +0.379%K +0.517%G +0.007%6.6%2026-04-11 18:35
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.07%EV -12.53%E -5.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -3.87%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV +1.42%E +0.379%K +0.517%G +0.007%6.6%2026-04-11 18:35
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.71%E -6.23%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -3.87%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +1.42%E +0.379%K +0.517%G +0.007%7.2%2026-04-11 18:34
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -14.49%E -6.65%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV +0.069%E +0.019%K +0.025%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 18:34
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.07%EV -15.28%E -7.07%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -1.28%E -0.352%K -0.484%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:35
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.64%E -0.732%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 18:34
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.93%E -3.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -2.64%E -0.732%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 18:29
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.15%EV -16.06%E -7.51%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.80%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -2.64%E -0.732%K -1.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 18:35
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.15%EV -16.06%E -7.51%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.80%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -2.64%E -0.732%K -1.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 18:35
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.95%EV -2.73%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.77%EV -3.53%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.28%EV -4.26%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 18:35
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.95%EV -2.73%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.77%EV -3.53%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.28%EV -4.26%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 18:34
BetAnything2.48I 40.32%NM 38.95%EV -2.73%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.77%EV -3.53%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.28%EV -4.26%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 18:35
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.34%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 18:32
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.93%E -3.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.34%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 18:29
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.93%E -3.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.34%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 18:32
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -10.61%E -4.00%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.34%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 18:29
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.93%E -3.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -5.34%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:35
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 39.34%EV -5.08%E -2.10%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -2.85%E -0.991%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -6.69%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 18:30
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.34%EV -5.08%E -2.10%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -2.85%E -0.991%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -6.69%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 18:30
Pinnacle2.42I 41.32%NM 38.98%EV -5.08%E -2.10%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.69%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 18:35
MyBookie.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -12.30%E -4.73%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -6.69%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 18:34
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -3.19%E -1.11%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 18:35
Caesars2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 18:35
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -3.87%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 18:35
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -3.87%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 18:30
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -3.87%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 18:34
BetUS2.41I 41.49%NM 38.92%EV -5.47%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 18:30
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 18:31
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -5.89%E -2.11%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 18:29
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 18:35
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -11.62%E -4.44%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 18:35
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.93%E -3.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 18:29
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.93%E -3.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 18:29
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.93%E -3.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -8.93%E -3.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 18:29
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -8.93%E -3.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 18:29
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.62%E -4.44%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.04%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 18:32
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 18:29
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.36%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 18:29
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -10.61%E -4.00%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 18:34
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -13.71%E -6.23%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -8.93%E -3.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 18:29
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -10.75%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 18:35
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -12.30%E -4.73%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -10.75%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-11 18:35
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 18:35
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -7.04%E -2.97%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -12.30%E -4.73%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -7.04%E -2.97%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -12.30%E -4.73%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 18:34
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -13.99%E -5.48%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.89%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-11 18:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-04-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-04-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-04-11 18:35
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.38%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-04-11 18:35
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 37.65%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.0%2026-04-11 18:35