Austin FC v FC Dallas

2026-08-17 00:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

34%

41%

25%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Austin FC (Local)

Prediction 34.48%2.90fair odd

EV +1.37%

Edge +0.465%

Kelly +0.704%

Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 2.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.56%34.19%34.48%35.38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.502.692.702.9440.00%37.11%37.04%34.01%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

FC Dallas (Visit)

Prediction 40.73%2.45fair odd

EV -2.24%

Edge -0.933%

Kelly -1.60%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.80%40.58%40.73%41.68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.052.242.252.4048.78%44.64%44.44%41.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.79%4.03fair odd

EV -4.57%

Edge -1.19%

Kelly -1.60%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

24.38%25.23%24.79%26.84%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.303.573.523.8530.30%28.04%28.37%25.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	2.94I 34.01%NM 32.97%EV +1.37%E +0.465%K +0.704%G +0.010%	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -3.46%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000%	3.71I 26.95%NM 26.13%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-07-26 12:00
888sport	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -3.46%E -1.24%K -1.92%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-07-26 13:00
William Hill	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -3.46%E -1.24%K -1.92%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-07-26 13:05
888sport (SE)	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -3.46%E -1.24%K -1.92%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-07-26 13:00
Mr Green (SE)	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -3.46%E -1.24%K -1.92%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-07-26 13:00
Coolbet	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.38%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -2.24%E -0.933%K -1.60%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.81%EV -4.57%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-26 12:00
SportsBet	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.97%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.18%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-26 12:00
Betr (AU)	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-26 12:00
FanDuel	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.70%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.86%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-26 12:00
LeoVegas	2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -10.39%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-07-26 12:00
Betclic (FR)	2.65I 37.74%NM 32.56%EV -8.63%E -3.26%K -5.23%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 41.68%EV -15.68%E -7.58%K -14.65%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 25.76%EV -16.96%E -5.06%K -7.22%G +0.000%	15.9%	2026-07-26 11:56
Paddy Power	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -9.67%E -3.69%K -5.97%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.86%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-26 12:00
BoyleSports	2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -10.36%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.25%EV -12.42%E -5.78%K -10.80%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%	12.8%	2026-07-26 12:05
Winamax (DE)	2.60I 38.46%NM 33.43%EV -10.36%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 41.38%EV -14.46%E -6.89%K -13.14%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 25.19%EV -14.48%E -4.20%K -5.91%G +0.000%	15.1%	2026-07-26 12:00
Sky Bet	2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -13.80%E -5.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -10.39%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%	14.0%	2026-07-26 11:58
Winamax (FR)	2.50I 40.00%NM 33.59%EV -13.80%E -5.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 40.96%EV -16.50%E -8.05%K -15.71%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 25.45%EV -18.20%E -5.52%K -7.91%G +0.000%	19.1%	2026-07-26 11:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.