Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta United FC v Toronto FC

2026-11-01 21:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta United FC (Local)

Prediction 49.63%2.01fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -4.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.19%49.63%49.63%50.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.871.881.9356.18%53.37%53.19%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto FC (Visit)

Prediction 27.04%3.70fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -0.733%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.69%27.04%27.04%27.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.443.453.6031.25%29.06%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.33%4.29fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.484%
Kelly -0.635%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.03%23.33%23.33%23.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.994.004.2026.67%25.08%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atlanta United FC (Local): 49.63%; Toronto FC (Visit): 27.04%; Draw: 23.33%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.29. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.20, with an expected value of -2.03%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.11%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -2.64%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.03%EV -2.03%E -0.484%K -0.635%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-25 22:02
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.11%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -2.64%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.03%EV -2.03%E -0.484%K -0.635%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-25 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.11%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -2.64%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.03%EV -2.03%E -0.484%K -0.635%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-25 22:02
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.70%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.70%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 22:02
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.70%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.70%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 22:02
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.70%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.70%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 22:02
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.70%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.70%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 22:02
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.70%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.70%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 22:02
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.70%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.70%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 22:00
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.70%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.70%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 22:02
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.19%E -3.85%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.34%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.70%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.56%EV -7.69%E -4.13%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -7.86%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 22:02
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.19%EV -8.19%E -4.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -10.20%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-25 22:02
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.19%EV -8.19%E -4.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -10.20%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-25 22:00
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.25%EV -9.67%E -5.32%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.75%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-25 22:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.24%EV -11.66%E -6.55%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -13.46%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -12.53%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-25 22:02
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 49.97%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.65%5.9%2026-10-25 23:22