Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta United FC v Sporting Kansas City

2026-08-23 23:00 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta United FC (Local)

Prediction 55.54%1.80fair odd
EV -3.91%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -5.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.48%55.54%55.54%55.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.681.7361.73%59.59%59.52%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sporting Kansas City (Visit)

Prediction 21.70%4.61fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -0.522%
Kelly -0.671%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.40%21.70%21.70%22.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.264.304.5025.00%23.48%23.26%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.76%4.39fair odd
EV -4.41%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.76%22.76%22.76%23.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.034.104.2026.32%24.79%24.39%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atlanta United FC (Local): 55.54%; Sporting Kansas City (Visit): 21.70%; Draw: 22.76%. For Sporting Kansas City (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.61. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.50, with an expected value of -2.35%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.67%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40%EV -2.35%E -0.522%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 02:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.67%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40%EV -2.35%E -0.522%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 02:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.67%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40%EV -2.35%E -0.522%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 02:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.13%E -3.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -7.78%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 03:44
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -6.69%E -3.98%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.69%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 02:59
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -6.69%E -3.98%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.69%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 02:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -6.69%E -3.98%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.69%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 02:59
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -6.69%E -3.98%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.69%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 02:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -6.69%E -3.98%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.69%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 02:59
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -6.69%E -3.98%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.69%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 02:59
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -6.69%E -3.98%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.69%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 02:59
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -7.25%E -4.34%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.03%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 03:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.63%EV -7.80%E -4.70%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -11.03%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 02:59
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.77%EV -8.91%E -5.43%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -11.03%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -12.38%E -3.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-14 02:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -10.02%E -6.19%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -13.20%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -13.52%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-14 02:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -10.02%E -6.19%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -13.20%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -13.52%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-14 02:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 50.50%3.57I 28.01%NM 24.33%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.17%15.1%2026-08-14 07:54

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.