The School of Odds
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Atlanta United FC v New York City FC

2026-09-26 23:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta United FC (Local)

Prediction 40.11%2.49fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -0.869%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.33%40.15%40.01%42.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.272.302.4448.78%43.98%43.48%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York City FC (Visit)

Prediction 34.16%2.93fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -0.928%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.11%34.12%34.28%35.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.672.702.8540.00%37.45%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.73%3.89fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -0.590%
Kelly -0.801%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.67%25.73%25.71%26.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.553.553.8029.41%28.20%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atlanta United FC (Local): 40.11%; New York City FC (Visit): 34.16%; Draw: 25.73%. For Atlanta United FC (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.44, with an expected value of -2.12%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.74%EV -2.12%E -0.869%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.26%EV -3.33%E -1.18%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.00%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-17 10:35
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -3.53%E -0.941%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 12:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-17 12:24
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.18%EV -5.73%E -2.44%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.97%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -2.24%E -0.590%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 12:23
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -5.73%E -2.44%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-17 12:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.73%EV -6.13%E -2.62%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.30%EV -7.43%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.97%EV -7.90%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-17 12:40
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.68%EV -6.93%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -2.64%E -0.928%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 12:24
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.68%EV -6.93%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -2.64%E -0.928%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 12:25
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-17 12:25
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.12%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-17 12:25
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 12:44
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 12:44
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-17 12:25
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-17 10:15
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-17 10:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-17 10:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-17 10:16
MyBookie.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -8.54%E -3.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.95%EV -6.74%E -2.47%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -6.10%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-17 09:35
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.74%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.16%E -3.86%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-17 12:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.74%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.16%E -3.86%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-17 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.74%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-17 12:26
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.74%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-17 12:25
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -9.74%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -14.60%E -5.84%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-17 12:25
ReBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 40.54%EV -10.14%E -4.53%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.88%EV -8.45%E -3.15%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-17 09:35
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.82%EV -11.75%E -5.34%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -9.48%E -3.58%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-17 09:35
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.75%E -5.34%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-17 10:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.84%EV -13.75%E -6.40%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.43%EV -12.89%E -5.06%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-17 09:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 41.21%EV -14.56%E -6.83%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.29%EV -10.73%E -3.09%K -4.34%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-17 09:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.84%EV -15.76%E -7.50%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.30%EV -14.60%E -5.84%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.86%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-17 09:36
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.12%EV -17.77%E -8.67%K -16.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.21%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.67%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-17 09:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 38.65%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.42%6.0%2026-09-17 13:06