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Atlanta United FC v Charlotte FC

2026-08-29 23:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta United FC (Local)

Prediction 41.92%2.39fair odd
EV -4.41%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -3.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.65%41.92%41.92%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.212.232.2847.17%45.18%44.84%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte FC (Visit)

Prediction 32.46%3.08fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -0.871%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.20%32.46%32.46%32.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.872.883.0036.36%34.85%34.72%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.61%3.90fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -0.702%
Kelly -0.953%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.42%25.61%25.61%26.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.623.653.8028.99%27.61%27.40%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atlanta United FC (Local): 41.92%; Charlotte FC (Visit): 32.46%; Draw: 25.61%. For Charlotte FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.00, with an expected value of -2.61%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.37%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.20%EV -2.61%E -0.871%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -2.67%E -0.702%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-20 14:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.37%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.20%EV -2.61%E -0.871%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -2.67%E -0.702%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-20 14:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.37%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.20%EV -2.61%E -0.871%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -2.67%E -0.702%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-20 14:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.67%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.79%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-20 15:20
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.92%EV -6.51%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -6.51%E -2.26%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.51%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 14:29
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.92%EV -6.51%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -6.51%E -2.26%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.51%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 14:29
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.92%EV -6.51%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -6.51%E -2.26%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.51%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 14:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.92%EV -6.51%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -6.51%E -2.26%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.51%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 14:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.92%EV -6.51%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -6.51%E -2.26%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.51%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 14:29
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.92%EV -6.51%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -6.51%E -2.26%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.51%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 14:29
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.92%EV -6.51%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -6.51%E -2.26%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.51%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 14:29
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.91%EV -9.02%E -4.16%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -9.07%E -2.56%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-20 14:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.87%EV -9.44%E -4.37%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -10.35%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-20 14:29
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.69%EV -10.28%E -4.80%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -11.63%E -3.37%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-20 14:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.92%EV -11.12%E -5.25%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -11.63%E -3.37%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-20 14:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.92%EV -11.12%E -5.25%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -11.63%E -3.37%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-20 14:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 41.32%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.99%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.69%9.0%2026-08-20 18:45

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