Language:English
Wales v Denmark
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wales (Local)
Prediction 26.16%3.82fair odd
EV +2.04%
Edge +0.522%
Kelly +0.702%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.01%26.12%26.18%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.613.603.9030.30%27.67%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Denmark (Visit)
Prediction 46.28%2.16fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -0.890%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.99%46.32%46.26%48.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.012.012.1251.81%49.71%49.75%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.56%3.63fair odd
EV +0.584%
Edge +0.160%
Kelly +0.220%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.42%27.55%27.56%28.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.423.403.6530.77%29.26%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wales (Local): 26.16%; Denmark (Visit): 46.28%; Draw: 27.56%. For Wales (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.01%EV +2.04%E +0.522%K +0.702%G +0.014% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.28%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV +0.584%E +0.160%K +0.220%G +0.001% | 2.5% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.01%EV +2.04%E +0.522%K +0.702%G +0.014% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.28%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV +0.584%E +0.160%K +0.220%G +0.001% | 2.5% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV +0.728%E +0.189%K +0.256%G +0.002% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.33%EV -5.59%E -2.74%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-04 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.03%EV +0.728%E +0.189%K +0.256%G +0.002% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.77%EV -0.794%E -0.221%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.56%EV -1.89%E -0.503%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.45%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00%EV -2.17%E -0.612%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -1.89%E -0.503%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -1.89%E -0.503%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -9.75%E -5.00%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-04 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -1.89%E -0.503%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -8.37%E -4.23%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-04 18:41 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV -3.20%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.59%EV -3.74%E -1.80%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.22%EV -1.90%E -0.533%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-04 18:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -3.20%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.61%EV -3.74%E -1.80%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -3.20%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.73%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -3.20%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -9.29%E -4.74%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.20%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.10%EV -7.90%E -3.97%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 18:41 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.20%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -9.75%E -5.00%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.20%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -9.75%E -5.00%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -3.46%E -0.937%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.61%EV -1.89%E -0.890%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.19%EV -5.48%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-04 18:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.20%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -10.68%E -5.53%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -10.68%E -5.53%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -10.68%E -5.53%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -10.68%E -5.53%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -10.68%E -5.53%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.80%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 18:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.09%EV -6.05%E -2.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 18:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 18:36 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-04 18:21 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-04 18:38 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.75%E -5.00%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-04 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.75%E -5.00%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-04 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.75%E -5.00%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-04 18:10 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.47%EV -6.34%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.33%EV -3.28%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.20%EV -7.41%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 18:26 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -0.794%E -0.221%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.33%EV -3.74%E -1.80%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 18:21 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 18:41 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-04 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.75%E -5.00%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-04 18:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -9.74%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-04 18:41 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -9.74%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -8.37%E -4.23%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.12%EV -6.86%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-04 18:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.13%EV -10.00%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -4.20%E -2.03%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.78%EV -7.41%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 18:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -10.52%E -3.08%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.99%EV -4.66%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -8.51%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-04 18:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-04 18:21 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.60% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.66% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.74% | 0.1% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.51% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-10-04 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.51% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-10-04 18:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.51% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-10-04 18:40 |