Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Turkey v France

Inizio: 2026-09-25 18:45 UTC

Finale: Turkey 0–1 France

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

31 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Turkey (Casa)

Previsione 11.73%8.52quota equa
EV +3.26%
Vantaggio +0.370%
Kelly +0.418%
Crescita +0.014%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.75%11.85%11.71%14.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.507.627.508.8015.38%13.13%13.33%11.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

France (Trasferta)

Previsione 70.85%1.41quota equa
EV -3.65%
Vantaggio -2.68%
Kelly -10.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.66%70.61%70.82%72.27%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.291.331.331.3677.52%74.97%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 17.42%5.74quota equa
EV +1.72%
Vantaggio +0.295%
Kelly +0.356%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.84

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.07%17.53%17.47%19.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.805.435.505.8420.83%18.40%18.18%17.12%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Turkey (Casa): 11.73%; France (Trasferta): 70.85%; Pareggio: 17.42%. Per Turkey (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 8.52. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 8.80, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.26%.

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betsson🎯8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV +3.26%E +0.370%K +0.418%G +0.014%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.55%EV -3.65%E -2.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -16.39%E -3.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-25 18:39
Pinnacle🎯8.74I 11.44%NM 11.01%EV +2.56%E +0.292%K +0.330%G +0.008%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.81%EV -5.06%E -3.78%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.18%EV -2.46%E -0.439%K -0.534%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-25 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.47%EV -0.261%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.71%EV -3.65%E -2.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.82%EV +1.03%E +0.177%K +0.214%G +0.002%2.5%2026-09-25 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.47%EV -0.261%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.71%EV -3.65%E -2.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.82%EV +1.03%E +0.177%K +0.214%G +0.002%2.5%2026-09-25 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV -0.261%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.28%EV -3.65%E -2.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.31%EV -2.46%E -0.439%K -0.534%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-25 18:40
NordicBet🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 11.40%EV -2.61%E -0.314%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.59%EV -5.06%E -3.78%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -8.55%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-25 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.43%EV -3.19%E -0.387%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.48%E -4.91%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -4.20%E -0.764%K -0.933%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-25 18:15
Bovada🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.37%EV -3.19%E -0.387%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.09%EV -6.48%E -4.91%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.54%EV -6.81%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-25 18:39
Suprabets🎯8.10I 12.35%NM 11.73%EV -4.95%E -0.612%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.35%EV -4.36%E -3.23%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.92%EV -7.68%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 17:51
1xBet🎯8.01I 12.48%NM 11.98%EV -6.01%E -0.750%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.60%EV -5.06%E -3.78%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.43%EV +1.72%E +0.295%K +0.356%G +0.006%4.2%2026-09-25 18:40
Casumo🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -6.13%E -0.766%K -0.875%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -5.77%E -4.34%K -17.49%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.94%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-25 18:10
Unibet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -6.13%E -0.766%K -0.875%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -5.77%E -4.34%K -17.49%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.94%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-25 18:10
FanDuel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -6.13%E -0.766%K -0.875%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -8.61%E -6.67%K -29.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV +1.03%E +0.177%K +0.214%G +0.002%7.3%2026-09-25 18:34
BoyleSports🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -6.13%E -0.766%K -0.875%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -5.77%E -4.34%K -17.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-25 17:55
SportsBet🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.08%EV -9.06%E -1.17%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.49%EV -7.19%E -5.49%K -23.19%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV -0.716%E -0.126%K -0.152%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-25 18:30
betfred_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.00%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.00%EV -3.65%E -2.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -4.20%E -0.764%K -0.933%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 12:30
BetRivers🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -12.00%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -6.48%E -4.91%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -7.68%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-25 18:09
PMU (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -12.00%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.06%EV -6.48%E -4.91%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -8.55%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-25 18:10
DraftKings🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -12.00%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.06%EV -6.48%E -4.91%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -8.55%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-25 17:55
Paddy Power🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -12.00%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -7.90%E -6.08%K -26.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -4.20%E -0.764%K -0.933%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-25 18:30
William Hill🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.00%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.90%E -6.08%K -26.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-25 18:40
TAB🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -17.86%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -4.36%E -3.23%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -4.20%E -0.764%K -0.933%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-25 18:09
LeoVegas🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -17.86%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -5.77%E -4.34%K -17.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -4.20%E -0.764%K -0.933%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-25 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -17.86%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.41%EV -7.90%E -6.08%K -26.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-25 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -17.86%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.41%EV -7.90%E -6.08%K -26.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-25 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -20.80%E -3.08%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -5.06%E -3.78%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV -2.46%E -0.439%K -0.534%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-25 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.22%EV -22.56%E -3.42%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -3.65%E -2.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -2.46%E -0.439%K -0.534%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-25 18:25
Neds🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.22%EV -22.56%E -3.42%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -3.65%E -2.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -2.46%E -0.439%K -0.534%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-25 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -23.73%E -3.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -3.65%E -2.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -4.20%E -0.764%K -0.933%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-25 18:25
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -23.73%E -3.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -3.65%E -2.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -4.20%E -0.764%K -0.933%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-25 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -23.73%E -3.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -5.77%E -4.34%K -17.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -4.20%E -0.764%K -0.933%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-25 18:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%0.5%2026-09-25 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%0.5%2026-09-25 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%0.5%2026-09-25 18:35