Langue:Français
Turkey v France
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Turkey (Local)
Prévision 11.73%8.52cote équitable
EV +3.26%
Avantage +0.370%
Kelly +0.418%
Croissance +0.014%
avec la cote maximale 8.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.75%11.85%11.71%14.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.507.627.508.8015.38%13.13%13.33%11.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
France (Visiteur)
Prévision 70.85%1.41cote équitable
EV -3.65%
Avantage -2.68%
Kelly -10.13%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.66%70.61%70.82%72.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.291.331.331.3677.52%74.97%75.19%73.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 17.42%5.74cote équitable
EV +1.72%
Avantage +0.295%
Kelly +0.356%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 5.84
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.07%17.53%17.47%19.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.805.435.505.8420.83%18.40%18.18%17.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Turkey (Local) : 11.73% ; France (Visiteur) : 70.85% ; Match nul : 17.42%. Pour Turkey (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.52. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.80, soit une espérance positive de +3.26%.
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV +3.26%E +0.370%K +0.418%G +0.014% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.55%EV -3.65%E -2.68%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -16.39%E -3.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-25 18:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.74I 11.44%NM 11.01%EV +2.56%E +0.292%K +0.330%G +0.008% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.81%EV -5.06%E -3.78%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.18%EV -2.46%E -0.439%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.47%EV -0.261%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.71%EV -3.65%E -2.68%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.82%EV +1.03%E +0.177%K +0.214%G +0.002% | 2.5% | 2026-09-25 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.47%EV -0.261%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.71%EV -3.65%E -2.68%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.82%EV +1.03%E +0.177%K +0.214%G +0.002% | 2.5% | 2026-09-25 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV -0.261%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.28%EV -3.65%E -2.68%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.31%EV -2.46%E -0.439%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.40%EV -2.61%E -0.314%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.59%EV -5.06%E -3.78%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -8.55%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.43%EV -3.19%E -0.387%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.48%E -4.91%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -4.20%E -0.764%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-25 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.37%EV -3.19%E -0.387%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.09%EV -6.48%E -4.91%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.54%EV -6.81%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-25 18:39 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.73%EV -4.95%E -0.612%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.35%EV -4.36%E -3.23%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.92%EV -7.68%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-25 17:51 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.01I 12.48%NM 11.98%EV -6.01%E -0.750%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.60%EV -5.06%E -3.78%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 5.84I 17.12%NM 16.43%EV +1.72%E +0.295%K +0.356%G +0.006% | 4.2% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -6.13%E -0.766%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -5.77%E -4.34%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.94%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-25 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -6.13%E -0.766%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -5.77%E -4.34%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -5.94%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-25 18:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -6.13%E -0.766%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -8.61%E -6.67%K -29.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV +1.03%E +0.177%K +0.214%G +0.002% | 7.3% | 2026-09-25 18:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -6.13%E -0.766%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -5.77%E -4.34%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-25 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.08%EV -9.06%E -1.17%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.49%EV -7.19%E -5.49%K -23.19%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV -0.716%E -0.126%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-25 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.00%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.00%EV -3.65%E -2.68%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -4.20%E -0.764%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-25 12:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -12.00%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -6.48%E -4.91%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -7.68%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-25 18:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -12.00%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.06%EV -6.48%E -4.91%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -8.55%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-25 18:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -12.00%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.06%EV -6.48%E -4.91%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -8.55%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-25 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -12.00%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -7.90%E -6.08%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -4.20%E -0.764%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-25 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.00%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.90%E -6.08%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -17.86%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -4.36%E -3.23%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -4.20%E -0.764%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-25 18:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -17.86%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -5.77%E -4.34%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -4.20%E -0.764%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-25 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -17.86%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.41%EV -7.90%E -6.08%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-25 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -17.86%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.41%EV -7.90%E -6.08%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-25 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -20.80%E -3.08%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -5.06%E -3.78%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV -2.46%E -0.439%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-25 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.22%EV -22.56%E -3.42%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -3.65%E -2.68%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -2.46%E -0.439%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-25 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.22%EV -22.56%E -3.42%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -3.65%E -2.68%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -2.46%E -0.439%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-25 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -23.73%E -3.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -3.65%E -2.68%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -4.20%E -0.764%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-25 18:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -23.73%E -3.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -3.65%E -2.68%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -4.20%E -0.764%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-25 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -23.73%E -3.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -5.77%E -4.34%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -4.20%E -0.764%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-25 18:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58% | 0.5% | 2026-09-25 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58% | 0.5% | 2026-09-25 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58% | 0.5% | 2026-09-25 18:35 |