Language:English
Slovenia v North Macedonia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Slovenia (Local)
Prediction 67.40%1.48fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -2.53%
Kelly -8.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.25%67.35%67.30%68.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.391.401.4374.07%71.84%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
North Macedonia (Visit)
Prediction 9.74%10.26fair odd
EV +2.30%
Edge +0.219%
Kelly +0.242%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 10.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.91%9.86%9.82%11.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.309.5010.5012.50%10.76%10.53%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.86%4.37fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.233%
Kelly -0.304%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.78%22.79%22.88%24.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.054.104.3326.67%24.68%24.39%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Slovenia (Local): 67.40%; North Macedonia (Visit): 9.74%; Draw: 22.86%. For North Macedonia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.26. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.30%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.61%EV -5.65%E -4.03%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.02%EV +2.30%E +0.219%K +0.242%G +0.006% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.37%EV -7.41%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 18:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.34%E -6.13%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +2.30%E +0.219%K +0.242%G +0.006% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -3.98%E -0.948%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.39%EV -4.97%E -3.53%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.32%EV -0.620%E -0.061%K -0.067%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.29%EV -6.73%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 18:44 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.34%EV -4.97%E -3.53%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.57%E -0.257%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -6.27%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 18:23 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.65%E -4.03%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.45%EV -2.57%E -0.257%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -6.27%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -5.65%E -4.03%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.57%E -0.257%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.27%EV -7.41%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-29 18:42 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.19%EV -6.99%E -5.07%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -2.57%E -0.257%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.98%E -0.948%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.50%EV -8.34%E -6.13%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -2.57%E -0.257%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -3.98%E -0.948%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-29 18:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.43%EV -6.99%E -5.07%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -2.57%E -0.257%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-29 18:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.98%EV -4.97%E -3.53%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.88%EV -5.49%E -0.566%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.14%EV -1.01%E -0.233%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-29 18:31 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.84%EV -3.62%E -2.53%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.71%EV -5.49%E -0.566%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -11.98%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.85%EV -4.30%E -3.03%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -7.44%E -0.783%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -6.27%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.85%EV -4.30%E -3.03%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -7.44%E -0.783%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -6.27%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.85%EV -4.30%E -3.03%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -7.44%E -0.783%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -6.27%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.85%EV -4.30%E -3.03%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -7.44%E -0.783%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -6.27%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.85%EV -4.30%E -3.03%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -7.44%E -0.783%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -6.27%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.85%EV -4.30%E -3.03%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -7.44%E -0.783%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -6.27%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.54%EV -5.65%E -4.03%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.44%E -0.783%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.98%E -0.948%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.54%EV -5.65%E -4.03%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.44%E -0.783%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.98%E -0.948%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.01%EV -4.97%E -3.53%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.44%E -0.783%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -6.27%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -5.65%E -4.03%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -7.44%E -0.783%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -5.65%E -4.03%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -7.44%E -0.783%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -5.65%E -4.03%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -7.44%E -0.783%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 18:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.42%EV -8.34%E -6.13%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -7.44%E -0.783%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-29 18:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.03%EV -8.34%E -6.13%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -7.44%E -0.783%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.84%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.62%EV -5.65%E -4.03%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV -12.31%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.86%EV -1.01%E -0.233%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.16%EV -5.65%E -4.03%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.31%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -3.98%E -0.948%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.16%EV -5.65%E -4.03%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.31%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -3.98%E -0.948%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.16%EV -5.65%E -4.03%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.31%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -3.98%E -0.948%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 18:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.71%EV -4.30%E -3.03%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -12.31%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.84%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.23%EV -5.65%E -4.03%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -12.31%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -9.70%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.12%EV -6.99%E -5.07%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.29%EV -12.31%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -6.27%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.06%EV -8.34%E -6.13%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -12.31%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-29 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.67%EV -8.34%E -6.13%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -12.31%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -10.84%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-29 18:31 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.39%EV -8.34%E -6.13%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.03%EV -12.31%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.58%EV -12.44%E -3.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-29 18:38 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.27%EV -8.34%E -6.13%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.01%EV -12.31%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -13.13%E -3.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-29 18:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.39%EV -5.65%E -4.03%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.27%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-29 18:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.07%EV -6.99%E -5.07%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -3.98%E -0.948%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.83%EV -5.65%E -4.03%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -9.70%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.76%EV -6.99%E -5.07%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -11.98%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.76%EV -6.99%E -5.07%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -17.18%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -11.98%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.78%EV -7.67%E -5.60%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -22.05%E -2.76%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -3.98%E -0.948%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.25%EV -8.34%E -6.13%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -22.05%E -2.76%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.66%EV -14.27%E -3.81%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-29 18:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.62%EV -9.02%E -6.68%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.07%EV -22.05%E -2.76%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -13.13%E -3.45%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.19% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 0.4% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.62% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.73% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.25% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |