Language:English
Slovakia v Kazakhstan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Slovakia (Local)
Prediction 78.24%1.28fair odd
EV -4.54%
Edge -3.72%
Kelly -20.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.56%78.33%78.37%80.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.191.191.2289.29%84.00%83.68%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kazakhstan (Visit)
Prediction 6.93%14.44fair odd
EV +12.56%
Edge +0.773%
Kelly +0.823%
Growth +0.103%
assuming max odds 16.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.79%6.88%7.10%8.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.5013.2713.0016.258.70%7.54%7.69%6.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 14.83%6.74fair odd
EV +3.81%
Edge +0.545%
Kelly +0.636%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.39%14.80%14.53%17.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.256.236.257.0019.05%16.06%16.00%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Slovakia (Local): 78.24%; Kazakhstan (Visit): 6.93%; Draw: 14.83%. For Kazakhstan (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 14.44. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 16.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.56%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.36%EV -6.89%E -5.79%K -36.27%G +0.000% | 16.25I 6.15%NM 5.88%EV +12.56%E +0.773%K +0.823%G +0.103% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.76%EV +3.07%E +0.442%K +0.516%G +0.016% | 4.6% | 2026-09-29 18:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.56%EV -5.33%E -4.40%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.79%EV +10.82%E +0.676%K +0.722%G +0.078% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -22.14%E -4.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-29 18:15 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.72%EV -6.89%E -5.79%K -36.27%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV +3.90%E +0.260%K +0.278%G +0.011% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.95%EV +0.847%E +0.125%K +0.146%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 17:36 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -7.67%E -6.50%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV +3.90%E +0.260%K +0.278%G +0.011% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -3.60%E -0.554%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-29 16:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -7.67%E -6.50%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV +3.90%E +0.260%K +0.278%G +0.011% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -3.60%E -0.554%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-29 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -8.46%E -7.23%K -49.74%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV +3.90%E +0.260%K +0.278%G +0.011% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -3.60%E -0.554%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-29 18:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.18%EV -5.33%E -4.40%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.44%EV +0.434%E +0.030%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.38%EV -15.47%E -2.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.40%EV -5.33%E -4.40%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.78%EV -3.03%E -0.216%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.82%EV -5.08%E -0.795%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.40%EV -5.33%E -4.40%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.78%EV -3.03%E -0.216%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.82%EV -5.08%E -0.795%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.40%EV -5.33%E -4.40%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.78%EV -3.03%E -0.216%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.82%EV -5.08%E -0.795%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.12%EV -5.33%E -4.40%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -3.03%E -0.216%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -7.31%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.12%EV -5.33%E -4.40%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -3.03%E -0.216%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -7.31%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.12%EV -5.33%E -4.40%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -3.03%E -0.216%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -7.31%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -6.89%E -5.79%K -36.27%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -3.03%E -0.216%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -3.60%E -0.554%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-29 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.77%EV -8.46%E -7.23%K -49.74%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.83%EV -6.49%E -0.481%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -5.08%E -0.795%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-29 18:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.16%EV -7.67%E -6.50%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 13.25I 7.55%NM 6.96%EV -8.22%E -0.621%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.88%EV -8.05%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-29 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.03%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV -9.96%E -0.766%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -3.60%E -0.554%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 17:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.03%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV -9.96%E -0.766%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -3.60%E -0.554%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 17:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -7.67%E -6.50%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -9.96%E -0.766%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV +3.81%E +0.545%K +0.636%G +0.024% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.58%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -9.96%E -0.766%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -9.53%E -1.56%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -9.96%E -0.766%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -11.02%E -1.84%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-29 17:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -9.96%E -0.766%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -11.02%E -1.84%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -9.96%E -0.766%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -11.02%E -1.84%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-29 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -9.96%E -0.766%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -11.02%E -1.84%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-29 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -9.96%E -0.766%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -11.02%E -1.84%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-29 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -9.96%E -0.766%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -11.02%E -1.84%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-29 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.53%EV -6.89%E -5.79%K -36.27%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.10%EV -9.96%E -0.766%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.02%E -1.84%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-29 17:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -7.67%E -6.50%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -9.96%E -0.766%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -11.02%E -1.84%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-29 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -7.67%E -6.50%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -9.96%E -0.766%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -11.02%E -1.84%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-29 17:33 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.42%EV -11.59%E -10.25%K -89.12%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.82%EV -9.96%E -0.766%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.77%EV -11.02%E -1.84%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-29 18:31 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 78.57%EV -12.37%E -11.04%K -103.07%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.77%EV -9.96%E -0.766%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -11.02%E -1.84%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-29 17:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.16%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV -13.42%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -11.02%E -1.84%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-29 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.05%EV -7.67%E -6.50%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.27%EV -13.42%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.68%EV -13.98%E -2.41%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.05%EV -7.67%E -6.50%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.27%EV -13.42%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.68%EV -13.98%E -2.41%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.93%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.74%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.14%EV -13.42%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.93%EV -16.95%E -3.03%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -16.88%E -1.41%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -7.31%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -16.88%E -1.41%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -7.31%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 17:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.55%EV -7.67%E -6.50%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV -16.88%E -1.41%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV +0.106%E +0.016%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-29 18:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -16.88%E -1.41%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.02%E -1.84%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -7.67%E -6.50%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -16.88%E -1.41%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -3.60%E -0.554%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-29 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.84%EV -8.46%E -7.23%K -49.74%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -16.88%E -1.41%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -7.31%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-29 18:28 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -10.80%E -9.48%K -77.16%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -16.88%E -1.41%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -11.02%E -1.84%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.24%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 11.90I 8.40%NM 8.02%EV -17.57%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.73%EV +3.07%E +0.442%K +0.516%G +0.016% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 18:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -7.67%E -6.50%K -42.63%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -20.35%E -1.77%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -3.60%E -0.554%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-29 18:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.77% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.75% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48% | 0.2% | 2026-09-29 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.46% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.73% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80% | 0.6% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.08% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 1.0% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |