Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.50
assuming max odds 1.92
assuming max odds 3.52
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Scotland (Local): 21.96%; Switzerland (Visit): 50.16%; Draw: 27.88%. For Scotland (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.55. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.50, with an expected value of -1.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.18%E -0.262%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.63%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -2.42%E -0.691%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.18%E -0.262%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.63%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -2.42%E -0.691%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.18%E -0.262%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.63%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -2.42%E -0.691%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -3.37%E -0.767%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.42%EV -5.70%E -3.03%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.04%EV -5.76%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 18:23 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -3.37%E -0.767%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.81%EV -4.70%E -2.47%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 18:38 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -3.37%E -0.767%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.81%EV -4.70%E -2.47%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 18:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -3.37%E -0.767%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -6.20%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-29 18:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -3.37%E -0.767%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -8.21%E -4.49%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-29 18:31 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.69%EV -3.59%E -0.818%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.64%EV -5.70%E -3.03%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.67%EV -4.09%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.77%EV -4.47%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.37%EV -5.70%E -3.03%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.79%EV -4.91%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.46%EV -6.20%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -4.91%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-29 18:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -4.91%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.30%EV -5.57%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.46%EV -4.70%E -2.47%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.24%EV -1.86%E -0.529%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-29 18:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -5.57%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.64%EV -4.20%E -2.20%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -6.60%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.57%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.17%EV -6.20%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.60%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.57%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.17%EV -6.20%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.60%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.57%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.17%EV -6.20%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.60%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -6.67%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.22%EV -4.70%E -2.47%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-29 18:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -6.67%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.69%EV -10.72%E -6.02%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -3.81%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-29 18:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -4.20%E -2.20%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.20%E -2.20%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-29 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.20%E -2.20%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-29 18:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.20%E -2.20%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-29 18:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -5.70%E -3.03%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -8.21%E -4.49%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -9.71%E -5.40%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -9.71%E -5.40%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%EV -8.86%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.38%EV -4.70%E -2.47%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.60%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.96%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.45%EV -7.71%E -4.19%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -3.81%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.96%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -6.20%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.89%EV -7.44%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-29 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.96%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -8.71%E -4.79%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-29 18:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -9.96%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.55%EV -8.21%E -4.49%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -9.96%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.69%EV -8.71%E -4.79%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -9.96%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.69%EV -8.71%E -4.79%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.16%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -4.70%E -2.47%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-29 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -12.16%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.95%EV -6.20%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-29 18:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.16%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-29 18:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.16%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-29 18:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.16%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-29 18:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.16%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -12.16%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -9.71%E -5.40%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-29 18:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21% | 0.7% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.91% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97% | 0.7% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.58% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33% | 0.9% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |