Language:English
Scotland v Slovenia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Scotland (Local)
Prediction 53.23%1.88fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -3.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.61%53.23%53.28%55.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.751.751.8259.52%57.07%57.14%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Slovenia (Visit)
Prediction 20.16%4.96fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.245%
Kelly -0.308%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.16%20.15%20.15%21.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.654.604.9023.26%21.53%21.74%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.61%3.76fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.421%
Kelly -0.578%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.33%26.62%26.57%27.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.503.503.7030.30%28.58%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Scotland (Local): 53.23%; Slovenia (Visit): 20.16%; Draw: 26.61%. For Slovenia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.90, with an expected value of -1.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.29%EV -3.12%E -1.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.00%EV -2.21%E -0.455%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.72%EV -3.42%E -0.943%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.33%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -3.22%E -0.670%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 12:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -7.25%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 12:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -7.25%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 12:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.27%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -7.25%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.27%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -7.25%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 12:01 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -12.69%E -2.93%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 09:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.89%EV -4.72%E -2.63%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.69%EV -1.20%E -0.245%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.43%EV -2.89%E -0.792%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.89%EV -4.72%E -2.63%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.69%EV -1.20%E -0.245%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.43%EV -2.89%E -0.792%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-05 09:06 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.89%EV -4.72%E -2.63%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.69%EV -1.20%E -0.245%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.43%EV -2.89%E -0.792%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.03%EV -5.25%E -2.95%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -11.28%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 09:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -5.78%E -3.27%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -7.25%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 12:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -5.78%E -3.27%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 09:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -5.78%E -3.27%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-04 14:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -5.78%E -3.27%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -13.30%E -3.09%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 09:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.92%EV -6.85%E -3.91%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -4.22%E -0.889%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 21:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.92%EV -6.85%E -3.91%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -4.22%E -0.889%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 08:11 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.85%E -3.91%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -1.20%E -0.245%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-04 20:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.85%E -3.91%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -1.20%E -0.245%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-04 20:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.85%E -3.91%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96%EV -5.23%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.85%E -3.91%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96%EV -5.23%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.85%E -3.91%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96%EV -5.23%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 09:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -6.85%E -3.91%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -4.22%E -0.889%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.85%E -3.91%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 05:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.85%E -3.91%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 05:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.85%E -3.91%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 05:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -6.85%E -3.91%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -11.28%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.20%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-05 05:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.29%EV -7.38%E -4.24%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.48%EV -2.21%E -0.455%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 01:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -7.38%E -4.24%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -4.22%E -0.889%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -7.38%E -4.24%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -7.25%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -7.38%E -4.24%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -7.25%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -7.38%E -4.24%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -7.25%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-04 20:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.91%E -4.57%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 10:31 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -7.91%E -4.57%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -7.25%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 11:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -7.91%E -4.57%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.61%EV -10.27%E -2.31%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.36%EV -7.41%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 10:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -7.91%E -4.57%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 09:06 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -7.91%E -4.57%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -7.91%E -4.57%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -7.91%E -4.57%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -4.22%E -0.889%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -12.20%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 05:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -7.91%E -4.57%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -4.22%E -0.889%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -12.20%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 05:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.46%EV -8.44%E -4.91%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -3.22%E -0.670%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 12:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.46%EV -8.44%E -4.91%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -3.22%E -0.670%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 12:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -9.51%E -5.59%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -3.22%E -0.670%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -1.56%E -0.421%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -9.51%E -5.59%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.25%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-04 12:16 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.64%EV -10.04%E -5.94%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -7.25%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-05 12:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.82%EV -10.57%E -6.29%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -5.23%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.49% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 0.8% | 2026-10-05 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.49% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 0.8% | 2026-10-05 15:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.28% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 1.2% | 2026-10-05 15:16 |