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Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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Romania v Poland

2026-11-14 19:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Testa a testa

25 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Romania (Casa)

Previsione 26.97%3.71quota equa
EV -0.203%
Vantaggio -0.055%
Kelly -0.075%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.03%26.92%26.94%27.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.183.483.503.7031.45%28.77%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Poland (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.78%2.14quota equa
EV -3.64%
Vantaggio -1.77%
Kelly -3.44%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.12%46.74%46.83%47.80%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.881.971.972.0653.19%50.65%50.76%48.54%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.25%3.81quota equa
EV -1.82%
Vantaggio -0.485%
Kelly -0.662%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.51%26.34%26.23%27.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.513.503.7431.25%28.48%28.57%26.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Romania (Casa): 26.97%; Poland (Trasferta): 46.78%; Pareggio: 26.25%. Per Romania (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.71. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.70, con un valore atteso del -0.203%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -0.203%E -0.055%K -0.075%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -5.51%E -2.73%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -2.87%E -0.774%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-03 11:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -0.203%E -0.055%K -0.075%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -5.51%E -2.73%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -2.87%E -0.774%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-03 11:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -0.203%E -0.055%K -0.075%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -5.51%E -2.73%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -2.87%E -0.774%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-03 11:19
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -2.90%E -0.806%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.44%EV -7.39%E -3.73%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -6.80%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-03 11:20
Casumo🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.90%E -0.806%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -7.85%E -3.99%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -6.80%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-03 11:19
Bally Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.90%E -0.806%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -7.85%E -3.99%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -6.80%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-03 11:20
1xBet🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 27.06%EV -3.44%E -0.961%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.03%EV -3.64%E -1.77%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.91%EV -1.82%E -0.485%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-03 11:19
Bovada🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.25%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.44%EV -7.39%E -3.73%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.49%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-03 11:19
Marathon Bet🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 27.09%EV -4.52%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.00%EV -4.58%E -2.24%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV -2.87%E -0.774%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-03 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.60%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.43%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-03 11:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.60%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.43%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-03 11:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.60%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.43%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-03 11:19
BetRivers🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.60%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.43%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-03 13:30
TABtouch🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.60%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -9.26%E -4.77%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -9.43%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-03 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.95%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.50%EV -8.32%E -4.25%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -4.18%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-03 11:19
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.45%E -3.22%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-03 11:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.45%E -3.22%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-03 11:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.45%E -3.22%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-03 11:20
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-03 11:19
Winamax (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -9.64%E -2.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.13%EV -10.19%E -5.31%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-03 11:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -9.64%E -2.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.93%EV -12.06%E -6.42%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -13.37%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%13.3%2026-11-03 11:20
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.99%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -5.51%E -2.73%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -10.74%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-03 11:19
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.99%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.74%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-03 11:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.99%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.96%EV -9.26%E -4.77%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.37%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-03 11:20
ReBet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 27.53%EV -14.23%E -4.47%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.12%EV -9.26%E -4.77%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.35%EV -15.99%E -5.00%K -7.27%G +0.000%14.2%2026-11-03 11:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 27.53%1.20I 83.33%NM 44.51%1.91I 52.36%NM 27.96%87.2%2026-11-03 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 27.53%1.20I 83.33%NM 44.51%1.91I 52.36%NM 27.96%87.2%2026-11-03 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 39.69%1.20I 83.33%NM 37.04%1.91I 52.36%NM 23.27%125.0%2026-11-03 11:20