默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Northern Ireland v Hungary

2026-09-28 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Northern Ireland (主队)

预测 35.28%2.83公平赔率
EV -1.91%
优势 -0.688%
Kelly -1.07%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.78

博彩公司预测分布
32.66%34.86%35.25%35.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.632.652.7840.00%37.97%37.74%35.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hungary (客队)

预测 34.40%2.91公平赔率
EV -3.69%
优势 -1.32%
Kelly -2.05%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.80

博彩公司预测分布
33.27%34.74%34.49%37.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.352.662.702.8042.55%37.53%37.04%35.71%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.32%3.30公平赔率
EV -3.58%
优势 -1.13%
Kelly -1.64%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.18

博彩公司预测分布
29.50%30.40%30.26%31.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.982.953.1835.71%33.54%33.90%31.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Northern Ireland (主队):35.28%;Hungary (客队):34.40%;平局:30.32%。 对于“Northern Ireland (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.83。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为2.78,期望值为-1.91%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Betclic (FR)🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 32.66%EV -1.91%E -0.688%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -16.42%E -6.76%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.97%EV -8.13%E -2.68%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-21 11:23
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.52%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-21 11:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.42%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.40%EV -4.03%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.18%EV -3.58%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-21 11:53
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -10.56%E -3.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-21 11:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -10.56%E -3.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-21 11:19
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -10.56%E -3.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-21 11:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -10.56%E -3.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-21 11:19
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -10.56%E -3.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-21 11:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -10.56%E -3.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-21 11:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -10.56%E -3.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-21 11:19
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.04%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-21 11:54
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.04%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-21 11:19
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.88%E -3.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.04%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-21 12:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.47%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.03%EV -19.17%E -8.16%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -10.56%E -3.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-21 11:19
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -8.85%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.01%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-21 11:57
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.81%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.49%EV -8.85%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.70%EV -15.10%E -5.39%K -8.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-21 11:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.73%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.60%EV -19.17%E -8.16%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.66%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-21 11:19
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -9.88%E -3.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.04%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-21 11:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 30.52%1.43I 69.93%NM 30.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 38.96%129.1%2026-09-21 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 30.52%1.43I 69.93%NM 30.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 38.96%129.1%2026-09-21 11:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 30.52%1.43I 69.93%NM 30.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 38.96%129.1%2026-09-21 11:19