默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Northern Ireland v Georgia

2026-10-05 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Northern Ireland (主队)

预测 38.30%2.61公平赔率
EV -4.25%
优势 -1.70%
Kelly -2.83%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.50

博彩公司预测分布
37.14%38.23%38.37%39.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.442.462.5044.44%41.02%40.65%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Georgia (客队)

预测 34.16%2.93公平赔率
EV -4.35%
优势 -1.55%
Kelly -2.41%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.80

博彩公司预测分布
32.77%34.29%34.04%35.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.712.752.8039.22%36.86%36.36%35.71%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.54%3.63公平赔率
EV +4.36%
优势 +1.15%
Kelly +1.56%
增长率 +0.068%

假设最高赔率为 3.79

博彩公司预测分布
25.55%27.48%27.59%29.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.123.333.303.7932.05%30.04%30.30%26.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Northern Ireland (主队):38.30%;Georgia (客队):34.16%;平局:27.54%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.63。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为3.79,由此产生+4.36%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.92%EV -4.63%E -1.86%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.50%EV -6.74%E -2.47%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.57%EV +4.36%E +1.15%K +1.56%G +0.068%3.2%2026-10-02 10:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.95%EV -5.78%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.49%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.55%EV +3.26%E +0.869%K +1.19%G +0.039%4.4%2026-10-02 10:13
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.08%E -3.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -3.62%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-02 10:05
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.08%E -3.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -3.62%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-02 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 07:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.08%E -3.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-02 13:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.08%E -3.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-02 13:20
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.84%E -3.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-02 13:40
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.08%E -3.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-02 10:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -11.91%E -5.18%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-02 10:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.84%E -3.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.47%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-02 10:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.02%EV -10.76%E -4.62%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.30%EV -8.31%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-02 10:05
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.25%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.25%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-02 13:40
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.25%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-02 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.25%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-02 13:35
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.25%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-02 13:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.00%EV -13.82%E -6.14%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.41%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-02 10:05
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.01%E -2.02%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 08:20
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.01%E -2.02%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 08:20
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.01%E -2.02%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 08:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.01%E -2.02%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.01%E -2.02%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 08:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.01%E -2.02%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 08:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.01%E -2.02%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 08:20
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.01%E -2.02%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 08:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.01%E -2.02%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 08:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.01%E -2.02%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 08:20
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.01%E -2.02%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 08:18
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.08%E -3.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-02 10:15
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.84%E -3.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.89%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-02 13:15
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.16%EV -14.09%E -4.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-02 07:40
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -6.16%E -2.51%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.16%EV -14.09%E -4.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-02 07:43
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 30.27%1.56I 64.10%NM 29.88%1.17I 85.47%NM 39.84%114.5%2026-10-02 12:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 30.27%1.56I 64.10%NM 29.88%1.17I 85.47%NM 39.84%114.5%2026-10-02 12:46
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 30.79%1.46I 68.49%NM 30.79%1.17I 85.47%NM 38.42%122.5%2026-10-02 13:35