Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Macedonia v Switzerland

2026-09-26 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Macedonia (Local)

Prediction 15.06%6.64fair odd
EV +0.880%
Edge +0.131%
Kelly +0.154%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 6.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.46%14.98%15.10%16.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.306.156.256.7018.87%16.27%16.00%14.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Switzerland (Visit)

Prediction 63.25%1.58fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -4.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.54%63.34%63.18%64.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.461.471.5471.94%68.27%68.03%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.69%4.61fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -0.528%
Kelly -0.679%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.13%21.68%21.73%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.274.304.5025.00%23.42%23.26%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: North Macedonia (Local): 15.06%; Switzerland (Visit): 63.25%; Draw: 21.69%. For North Macedonia (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.64. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.70, producing a positive expected value of +0.880%.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 14.46%EV +0.880%E +0.131%K +0.154%G +0.001%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.76%EV -3.86%E -2.54%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.78%EV -3.46%E -0.778%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 15:24
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -2.13%E -0.328%K -0.387%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -6.39%E -4.32%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -2.38%E -0.528%K -0.679%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 06:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -2.13%E -0.328%K -0.387%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.94%EV -6.39%E -4.32%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -4.55%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 06:09
1xBet🎯6.45I 15.50%NM 15.07%EV -2.88%E -0.447%K -0.529%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.10%EV -2.60%E -1.69%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.84%EV -3.46%E -0.778%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-29 15:24
Unibet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -5.90%E -0.943%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -7.02%E -4.78%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -5.63%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 20:39
BetRivers🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -5.90%E -0.943%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -7.02%E -4.78%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -5.63%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 20:40
Casumo🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -5.90%E -0.943%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -7.02%E -4.78%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -5.63%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 20:39
PMU (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -5.90%E -0.943%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -7.02%E -4.78%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -5.63%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 06:59
Svenska Spel🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -5.90%E -0.943%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -7.02%E -4.78%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -5.63%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 06:59
ATG (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -5.90%E -0.943%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -7.02%E -4.78%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -5.63%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 06:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -5.90%E -0.943%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -6.39%E -4.32%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -7.80%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 06:09
Neds🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -5.90%E -0.943%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -6.39%E -4.32%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -7.80%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 06:09
LiveScore Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -5.90%E -0.943%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.41%EV -7.02%E -4.78%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.71%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 20:39
Virgin Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -5.90%E -0.943%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.41%EV -7.02%E -4.78%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.71%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 20:40
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.66%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.22%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 12:20
Suprabets🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -9.66%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.86%EV -7.66%E -5.24%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.88%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 05:01
FanDuel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -9.66%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -8.88%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-20 20:39
LeoVegas🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -9.66%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -8.88%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 04:55
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -9.66%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.92%E -6.20%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.88%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-20 20:39
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -9.66%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.92%E -6.20%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.88%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 22:15
Betclic (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.10%EV -11.17%E -1.89%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.18%EV -10.82%E -7.67%K -26.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.73%EV -11.05%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-09 04:49
Winamax (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -17.19%E -3.13%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 62.49%EV -10.82%E -7.67%K -26.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%EV -11.05%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-09 04:50
Winamax (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.29%EV -20.20%E -3.81%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 62.12%EV -12.08%E -8.69%K -30.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.59%EV -13.22%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-09 04:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 18.46%1.39I 71.94%NM 57.11%3.25I 30.77%NM 24.43%26.0%2026-09-09 09:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 18.46%1.39I 71.94%NM 57.11%3.25I 30.77%NM 24.43%26.0%2026-09-09 09:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 49.08%1.39I 71.94%NM 35.66%3.25I 30.77%NM 15.25%101.7%2026-09-09 09:30