Language:English
North Macedonia v Switzerland
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
North Macedonia (Local)
Prediction 8.32%12.02fair odd
EV +8.12%
Edge +0.624%
Kelly +0.677%
Growth +0.055%
assuming max odds 13.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.29%8.33%8.33%9.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5010.8010.5013.0010.53%9.26%9.52%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Switzerland (Visit)
Prediction 73.66%1.36fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -8.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.79%73.60%73.71%75.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.271.271.3283.33%78.57%78.74%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.02%5.55fair odd
EV -0.888%
Edge -0.161%
Kelly -0.197%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.64%18.07%17.96%20.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.165.205.5021.74%19.37%19.23%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Macedonia (Local): 8.32%; Switzerland (Visit): 73.66%; Draw: 18.02%. For North Macedonia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.02. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV +8.12%E +0.624%K +0.677%G +0.055% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.68%EV -4.97%E -3.86%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -9.90%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 18:44 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV +8.12%E +0.624%K +0.677%G +0.055% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.17%EV -7.18%E -5.70%K -27.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.54%EV -2.69%E -0.498%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 18:32 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.56%EV +3.96%E +0.317%K +0.344%G +0.014% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.74%EV -4.24%E -3.26%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -13.50%E -2.81%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.56%EV +3.96%E +0.317%K +0.344%G +0.014% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.74%EV -4.24%E -3.26%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -13.50%E -2.81%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -0.199%E -0.017%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.78%EV -8.66%E -6.98%K -36.08%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.50%EV -4.49%E -0.848%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-26 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.34%EV -4.36%E -0.379%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.24%E -3.26%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.92%EV -3.59%E -0.671%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 18:42 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.46%EV -6.85%E -0.612%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.86%EV -4.24%E -3.26%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.68%EV -8.64%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -8.52%E -0.774%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -4.24%E -3.26%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -5.39%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -8.52%E -0.774%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -4.24%E -3.26%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -5.39%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -8.52%E -0.774%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -10.13%E -8.30%K -46.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -0.888%E -0.161%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-26 18:43 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%EV -8.52%E -0.774%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.12%EV -11.60%E -9.67%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -9.90%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-26 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -12.67%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.79%EV -4.24%E -3.26%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.20%EV -6.29%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-26 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -12.67%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.79%EV -4.24%E -3.26%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.20%EV -6.29%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-26 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV -12.67%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -6.45%E -5.08%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -2.69%E -0.498%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV -12.67%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -6.45%E -5.08%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -2.69%E -0.498%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV -12.67%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -6.45%E -5.08%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -2.69%E -0.498%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV -12.67%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -6.45%E -5.08%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -2.69%E -0.498%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV -12.67%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -6.45%E -5.08%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -2.69%E -0.498%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.80%EV -12.67%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.73%EV -6.45%E -5.08%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -9.90%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-26 18:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%EV -12.67%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.03%EV -10.13%E -8.30%K -46.05%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -6.29%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -16.83%E -1.68%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.63%EV -2.77%E -2.09%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -9.90%E -1.98%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 18:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -16.83%E -1.68%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.87%EV -4.97%E -3.86%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -4.49%E -0.848%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-26 18:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -16.83%E -1.68%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.93%EV -6.45%E -5.08%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -6.29%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -16.83%E -1.68%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -4.24%E -3.26%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -17.11%E -3.72%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-26 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -16.83%E -1.68%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.15%EV -8.66%E -6.98%K -36.08%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -8.10%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -16.83%E -1.68%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.15%EV -8.66%E -6.98%K -36.08%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -8.10%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -16.83%E -1.68%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.18%EV -7.92%E -6.34%K -31.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -13.50%E -2.81%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-26 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -20.99%E -2.21%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.42%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.83%EV -6.29%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-26 18:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -20.99%E -2.21%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.32%EV -6.45%E -5.08%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -8.10%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-26 18:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.45% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-09-26 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.45% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-09-26 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.74% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.07% | 1.0% | 2026-09-26 18:45 |