Language:English
North Macedonia v Scotland
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
North Macedonia (Local)
Prediction 12.22%8.18fair odd
EV +3.85%
Edge +0.454%
Kelly +0.514%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 8.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.23%12.28%12.23%15.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.557.508.5016.67%13.24%13.33%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Scotland (Visit)
Prediction 63.36%1.58fair odd
EV +2.64%
Edge +1.63%
Kelly +4.26%
Growth +0.113%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.26%63.19%63.30%64.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.501.6269.44%67.06%66.67%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.42%4.09fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -0.577%
Kelly -0.770%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.32%24.54%24.46%27.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.783.804.0029.41%26.48%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Macedonia (Local): 12.22%; Scotland (Visit): 63.36%; Draw: 24.42%. For North Macedonia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.18. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.85%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -26.69%E -4.45%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV +2.64%E +1.63%K +4.26%G +0.113% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -16.96%E -4.99%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 15:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.04%EV -2.25%E -0.282%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.02%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.04%EV -2.25%E -0.282%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.02%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.04%EV -2.25%E -0.282%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.02%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 18:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.63%EV -16.92%E -2.49%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.98%EV -3.69%E -2.43%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -10.86%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-03 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -2.25%E -0.282%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -4.26%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 18:36 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -4.70%E -0.602%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.03%EV -7.44%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 18:42 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV +3.85%E +0.454%K +0.514%G +0.020% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.65%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.12%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -8.36%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.11%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -8.36%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.11%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -8.36%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.11%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -8.36%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.11%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.00%EV -11.42%E -1.57%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.83%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 18:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.00%EV -11.42%E -1.57%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.83%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 18:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.31%EV +1.41%E +0.170%K +0.193%G +0.003% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.60%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 18:41 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.31%EV +1.41%E +0.170%K +0.193%G +0.003% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.60%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 18:41 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -8.36%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 18:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -8.36%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 18:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -8.36%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 18:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -14.47%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -4.96%E -3.31%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-03 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.23I 12.15%NM 11.55%EV +0.556%E +0.068%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.81%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.63%EV -5.73%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 18:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -8.36%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.23%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.40%EV -10.86%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -8.36%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.23%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.40%EV -10.86%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 18:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -2.25%E -0.282%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.12%EV -6.23%E -4.21%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -3.53%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -8.36%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -6.23%E -4.21%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -8.36%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -6.23%E -4.21%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 18:41 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -8.36%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.02%EV -6.23%E -4.21%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -8.36%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.39%EV -6.23%E -4.21%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -10.86%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-03 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -8.36%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.39%EV -6.23%E -4.21%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -10.86%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-03 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -8.36%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.39%EV -6.23%E -4.21%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -10.86%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-03 18:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.13%EV -21.80%E -3.41%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.10%EV -6.23%E -4.21%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -10.86%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-03 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -2.25%E -0.282%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.87%EV -6.86%E -4.67%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 18:43 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.91%EV -11.42%E -1.57%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.68%EV -6.86%E -4.67%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -2.25%E -0.282%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.39%EV -8.13%E -5.61%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 18:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -14.47%E -2.07%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.13%E -5.61%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -3.53%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -8.36%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.24%EV -8.76%E -6.09%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-03 18:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -8.36%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.24%EV -8.76%E -6.09%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-03 18:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -8.36%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.24%EV -8.76%E -6.09%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-03 18:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -8.36%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.81%EV -8.76%E -6.09%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.84% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.84% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.84% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |