语言:简体中文
Montenegro v Cyprus
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Montenegro (主队)
预测 57.97%1.73公平赔率
EV -3.77%
优势 -2.27%
Kelly -5.72%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.66
博彩公司预测分布
56.76%58.02%58.09%58.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.511.601.601.6666.23%62.41%62.50%60.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
Cyprus (客队)
预测 17.90%5.59公平赔率
EV -1.57%
优势 -0.285%
Kelly -0.348%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 5.50
博彩公司预测分布
17.02%17.92%17.82%18.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.905.195.105.5020.41%19.26%19.61%18.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 24.13%4.14公平赔率
EV -1.05%
优势 -0.256%
Kelly -0.339%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.10
博彩公司预测分布
22.90%24.06%24.09%25.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.853.904.1027.78%25.96%25.64%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Montenegro (主队)：57.97%；Cyprus (客队)：17.90%；平局：24.13%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.14。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为4.10，期望值为-1.05%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.77%E -2.27%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.37I 18.62%NM 17.92%EV -3.89%E -0.725%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.12%EV -3.70%E -0.928%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.88%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-25 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.88%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-25 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.88%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-25 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.88%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-25 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.45%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.59%EV -2.46%E -0.451%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96%EV -3.46%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.15%EV -5.51%E -3.38%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -1.57%E -0.285%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -7.08%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-25 17:51 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -6.09%E -3.76%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.88%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-25 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -6.09%E -3.76%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -10.70%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-25 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.67%E -4.14%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -1.05%E -0.256%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-25 18:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -6.67%E -4.14%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -5.14%E -0.971%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-25 18:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.96%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -1.57%E -0.285%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -4.67%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-25 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.96%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -1.57%E -0.285%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -4.67%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-25 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.96%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -1.57%E -0.285%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -4.67%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-25 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.96%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -1.57%E -0.285%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -4.67%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-25 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.96%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -1.57%E -0.285%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -4.67%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-25 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.92%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -12.30%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -3.46%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-25 18:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -3.35%E -0.621%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.12%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-25 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -3.35%E -0.621%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.12%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-25 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-25 18:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.70%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-25 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.44%EV -8.41%E -5.32%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.26%EV -4.25%E -0.794%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-25 18:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.23%EV -8.41%E -5.32%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -12.30%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -3.46%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-25 18:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.99%E -5.73%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -3.46%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-25 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -8.99%E -5.73%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.70%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-25 18:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.45%EV -8.99%E -5.73%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.51%EV -11.19%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-25 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.43%EV -10.15%E -6.55%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -6.93%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.15%EV -9.50%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-25 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.43%EV -10.15%E -6.55%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -6.93%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.15%EV -9.50%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-25 18:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.49%EV -12.47%E -8.26%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.32%EV -8.72%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -11.91%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-25 18:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.04% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.20% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76% | 0.2% | 2026-09-25 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.8% | 2026-09-25 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.8% | 2026-09-25 18:45 |