Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Montenegro v Cyprus

Inizio: 2026-09-25 18:47 UTC

Finale: Montenegro 2–1 Cyprus

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

29 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Montenegro (Casa)

Previsione 57.97%1.73quota equa
EV -3.77%
Vantaggio -2.27%
Kelly -5.72%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.76%58.02%58.09%58.96%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.511.601.601.6666.23%62.41%62.50%60.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Cyprus (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.90%5.59quota equa
EV -1.57%
Vantaggio -0.285%
Kelly -0.348%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.02%17.92%17.82%18.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.905.195.105.5020.41%19.26%19.61%18.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 24.13%4.14quota equa
EV -1.05%
Vantaggio -0.256%
Kelly -0.339%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.90%24.06%24.09%25.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.853.904.1027.78%25.96%25.64%24.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Montenegro (Casa): 57.97%; Cyprus (Trasferta): 17.90%; Pareggio: 24.13%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.14. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 4.10, con un valore atteso del -1.05%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.77%E -2.27%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.92%EV -3.89%E -0.725%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.12%EV -3.70%E -0.928%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-25 18:40
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.88%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-25 17:55
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.88%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-25 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.88%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-25 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.88%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-25 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.45%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.59%EV -2.46%E -0.451%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96%EV -3.46%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 18:40
Suprabets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.15%EV -5.51%E -3.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -1.57%E -0.285%K -0.348%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -7.08%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-25 17:51
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -6.09%E -3.76%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.88%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-25 18:45
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -6.09%E -3.76%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -10.70%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-25 18:45
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.67%E -4.14%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -1.05%E -0.256%K -0.339%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-25 18:45
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -6.67%E -4.14%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -5.14%E -0.971%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-25 18:44
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.96%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -1.57%E -0.285%K -0.348%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -4.67%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.96%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -1.57%E -0.285%K -0.348%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -4.67%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 18:30
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.96%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -1.57%E -0.285%K -0.348%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -4.67%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.96%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -1.57%E -0.285%K -0.348%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -4.67%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.96%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -1.57%E -0.285%K -0.348%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -4.67%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.92%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -12.30%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -3.46%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-25 18:45
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -3.35%E -0.621%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.12%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-25 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -3.35%E -0.621%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.12%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-25 18:30
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-25 18:45
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -10.70%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-25 18:30
Bovada🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.44%EV -8.41%E -5.32%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.26%EV -4.25%E -0.794%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-25 18:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.23%EV -8.41%E -5.32%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -12.30%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -3.46%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-25 18:45
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.99%E -5.73%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -3.46%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-25 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -8.99%E -5.73%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.70%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-25 18:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.45%EV -8.99%E -5.73%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.51%EV -11.19%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-25 18:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.43%EV -10.15%E -6.55%K -18.45%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -6.93%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.15%EV -9.50%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-25 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.43%EV -10.15%E -6.55%K -18.45%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -6.93%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.15%EV -9.50%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-25 18:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.49%EV -12.47%E -8.26%K -24.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.32%EV -8.72%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -11.91%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-25 18:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 59.04%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76%0.2%2026-09-25 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.8%2026-09-25 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.8%2026-09-25 18:45