Language:English
Montenegro v Armenia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Montenegro (Local)
Prediction 65.32%1.53fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -5.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.18%65.31%65.33%67.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.441.441.4972.46%69.32%69.44%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Armenia (Visit)
Prediction 14.24%7.02fair odd
EV +6.83%
Edge +0.910%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.072%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.52%14.20%14.21%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.526.507.5016.67%15.34%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.44%4.89fair odd
EV +0.144%
Edge +0.029%
Kelly +0.037%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.01%20.48%20.46%22.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.154.494.454.9024.10%22.27%22.47%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montenegro (Local): 65.32%; Armenia (Visit): 14.24%; Draw: 20.44%. For Armenia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.02. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.83%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -8.55%E -6.11%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +6.83%E +0.910%K +1.05%G +0.072% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -5.99%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 15:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -8.55%E -6.11%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +6.83%E +0.910%K +1.05%G +0.072% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -5.99%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 15:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -3.98%E -2.71%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV -0.295%E -0.042%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.45%EV -9.05%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 13:51 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -7.25%E -5.10%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -0.295%E -0.042%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -2.92%E -0.615%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.91%EV -8.55%E -6.11%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.58%EV -1.72%E -0.249%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -1.90%E -0.396%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 14:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.17%EV -2.68%E -1.80%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.83I 14.64%NM 14.22%EV -2.72%E -0.398%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.62%EV -3.74%E -0.794%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-05 13:13 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.01%EV -5.94%E -4.13%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.98%EV -3.14%E -0.462%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -2.92%E -0.615%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 14:58 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.31%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.52%EV -3.14%E -0.462%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -15.18%E -3.66%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.31%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.52%EV -3.14%E -0.462%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -15.18%E -3.66%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.19%EV -3.98%E -2.71%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.20%EV -3.86%E -0.571%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.61%EV -4.97%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-05 13:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.05%EV -7.25%E -5.10%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.00%EV -4.57%E -0.682%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -3.94%E -0.839%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.78%EV -7.90%E -5.60%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.05%EV -5.99%E -0.908%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -5.99%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 14:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -7.42%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -8.03%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -7.42%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -8.03%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -7.42%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -8.03%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -3.98%E -2.71%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -7.42%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -10.07%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -3.98%E -2.71%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -7.42%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -10.07%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -3.98%E -2.71%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -7.42%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -10.07%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -3.98%E -2.71%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -7.42%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -10.07%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -3.98%E -2.71%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -7.42%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -10.07%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 08:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -3.98%E -2.71%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -7.42%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -10.07%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -3.98%E -2.71%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -7.42%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -10.07%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -3.98%E -2.71%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -7.42%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -10.07%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -3.98%E -2.71%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -7.42%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -10.07%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -3.98%E -2.71%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -7.42%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -10.07%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -3.98%E -2.71%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -7.42%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -10.07%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 08:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -7.42%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -2.92%E -0.615%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -7.25%E -5.10%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -7.42%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.99%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.42%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -13.14%E -3.09%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.25%E -5.10%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -7.42%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.03%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.55%E -6.11%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.42%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.03%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 13:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.12%EV -9.86%E -7.15%K -25.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -7.42%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -5.99%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.55%E -6.11%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -7.42%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -11.51%E -2.66%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.57%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -10.98%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -10.07%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.57%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -10.98%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -10.07%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.08%EV -7.90%E -5.60%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -10.98%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +0.144%E +0.029%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.98%EV -8.55%E -6.11%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.78%EV -10.98%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -1.90%E -0.396%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.98%EV -5.94%E -4.13%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.74%EV -10.98%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -11.51%E -2.66%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 13:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -7.90%E -5.60%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -10.98%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.99%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -7.90%E -5.60%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -10.98%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.99%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 15:16 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -5.94%E -4.13%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -14.54%E -2.42%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -8.03%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 13:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.94%E -4.13%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -14.54%E -2.42%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -11.51%E -2.66%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 13:46 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.94%E -4.13%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -14.54%E -2.42%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -11.51%E -2.66%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.94%E -4.13%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -14.54%E -2.42%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -11.51%E -2.66%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -5.94%E -4.13%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -14.54%E -2.42%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -14.16%E -3.37%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-05 13:21 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18% | 1.1% | 2026-10-05 15:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18% | 1.1% | 2026-10-05 15:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18% | 1.1% | 2026-10-05 15:11 |