Language:English
Moldova v Slovakia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Moldova (Local)
Prediction 13.13%7.62fair odd
EV +5.02%
Edge +0.628%
Kelly +0.718%
Growth +0.036%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.83%13.11%13.26%14.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.297.388.0015.38%13.72%13.56%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Slovakia (Visit)
Prediction 66.23%1.51fair odd
EV -4.62%
Edge -3.21%
Kelly -10.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.57%66.22%66.16%67.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.401.401.4473.53%71.50%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.64%4.85fair odd
EV +0.095%
Edge +0.020%
Kelly +0.025%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.50%20.67%20.58%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.484.504.8525.00%22.31%22.22%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Moldova (Local): 13.13%; Slovakia (Visit): 66.23%; Draw: 20.64%. For Moldova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.62. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.02%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.02%E +0.628%K +0.718%G +0.036% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.95%E -4.19%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -7.13%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.02%E +0.628%K +0.718%G +0.036% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -6.61%E -4.69%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -5.06%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.02%E +0.628%K +0.718%G +0.036% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -6.61%E -4.69%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -5.06%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.02%E +0.628%K +0.718%G +0.036% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -6.61%E -4.69%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -5.06%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.02%E +0.628%K +0.718%G +0.036% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -6.61%E -4.69%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -5.06%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 09:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.02%E +0.628%K +0.718%G +0.036% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -6.61%E -4.69%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -5.06%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.02%E +0.628%K +0.718%G +0.036% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -6.61%E -4.69%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -5.06%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 09:06 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.83%EV +2.40%E +0.308%K +0.353%G +0.008% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.93%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.24%EV -14.35%E -3.46%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 13:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.83%EV +2.40%E +0.308%K +0.353%G +0.008% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.93%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.24%EV -14.35%E -3.46%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 13:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV +1.74%E +0.225%K +0.258%G +0.004% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.44%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.02%EV +0.095%E +0.020%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-04 08:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.46%EV +1.09%E +0.141%K +0.162%G +0.002% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.56%EV -5.95%E -4.19%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.99%EV -0.936%E -0.195%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 08:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.54%E -0.205%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.49%EV -6.61%E -4.69%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -0.936%E -0.195%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 16:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -1.54%E -0.205%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.23%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -10.64%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-04 12:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -1.54%E -0.205%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.60%E -6.23%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.19%E -2.09%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -1.54%E -0.205%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.60%E -6.23%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.19%E -2.09%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -1.54%E -0.205%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.60%E -6.23%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.19%E -2.09%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -1.54%E -0.205%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.60%E -6.23%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.19%E -2.09%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 09:06 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -1.54%E -0.205%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.60%E -6.23%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.19%E -2.09%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -1.54%E -0.205%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -5.95%E -4.19%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -17.45%E -4.36%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 12:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -1.54%E -0.205%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -9.92%E -7.30%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -9.19%E -2.09%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-05 13:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -1.54%E -0.205%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -9.92%E -7.30%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -9.19%E -2.09%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-05 13:28 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -1.54%E -0.205%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.92%E -7.30%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -10.64%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-04 08:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -4.82%E -0.665%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.06%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 09:26 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -4.82%E -0.665%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.06%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 09:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.69%EV -4.82%E -0.665%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.65%EV -8.60%E -6.23%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.67%EV -8.16%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 13:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.69%EV -4.82%E -0.665%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.65%EV -8.60%E -6.23%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.67%EV -8.16%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 13:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 7.10I 14.08%NM 12.95%EV -6.79%E -0.956%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.15%EV -7.94%E -5.71%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -9.19%E -2.09%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-04 12:06 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -8.10%E -1.16%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.84%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -5.06%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 06:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -8.10%E -1.16%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -5.95%E -4.19%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.06%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 08:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.10%E -1.16%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -6.61%E -4.69%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.13%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-04 20:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -8.10%E -1.16%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -5.06%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 09:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -8.10%E -1.16%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.13%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 13:56 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -8.10%E -1.16%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.13%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-04 10:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.46%EV -9.42%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -5.06%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-04 18:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.30%EV -9.42%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.52%EV -8.60%E -6.23%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.18%EV -6.10%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-04 18:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -10.73%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.08%EV -7.94%E -5.71%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.13%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-04 08:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -11.39%E -1.69%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -5.06%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-04 10:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -11.39%E -1.69%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.13%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 09:26 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -14.67%E -2.26%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -5.95%E -4.19%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.13%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-04 10:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -14.67%E -2.26%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -8.60%E -6.23%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -3.00%E -0.638%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 11:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -14.67%E -2.26%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.64%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-04 08:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -14.67%E -2.26%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.64%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-04 08:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -14.67%E -2.26%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.64%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-04 08:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -14.67%E -2.26%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -13.32%E -3.17%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-04 08:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.49% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.96% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 1.4% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.49% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.96% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 1.4% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.49% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.96% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 1.4% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |