Language:English
Moldova v Faroe Islands
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Moldova (Local)
Prediction 30.66%3.26fair odd
EV +0.855%
Edge +0.260%
Kelly +0.374%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.88%30.67%30.65%31.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.033.003.2935.09%33.05%33.33%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Faroe Islands (Visit)
Prediction 36.16%2.77fair odd
EV -4.53%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -2.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.34%36.15%36.16%37.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.562.592.6440.82%39.06%38.61%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 33.18%3.01fair odd
EV +0.212%
Edge +0.070%
Kelly +0.105%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.81%33.18%33.19%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.802.803.0238.02%35.72%35.71%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Moldova (Local): 30.66%; Faroe Islands (Visit): 36.16%; Draw: 33.18%. For Moldova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.29, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.855%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.88%EV +0.855%E +0.260%K +0.374%G +0.003% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.55%EV -8.51%E -3.36%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -6.09%E -2.15%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 15:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -0.371%E -0.114%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -3.44%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 15:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -3.44%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 15:59 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.30%EV -4.05%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.06%EV -4.89%E -1.86%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.63%EV -6.42%E -2.28%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 15:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.07%EV -4.36%E -1.40%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.81%EV -5.26%E -2.01%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-29 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.96%EV -5.26%E -2.01%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-29 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.96%EV -5.26%E -2.01%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-29 15:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-29 15:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-29 15:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.06%EV -5.58%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.16%EV -7.43%E -2.90%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.78%EV -9.08%E -3.31%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-29 15:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.43%EV -5.26%E -2.01%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.13%EV -9.74%E -3.58%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-29 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.56%EV -6.34%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.24%EV -10.74%E -3.99%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.81%EV -7.42%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -4.53%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.81%EV +0.212%E +0.070%K +0.105%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.41%EV -7.42%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.44%EV -8.87%E -3.52%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.15%EV -8.08%E -2.92%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-29 15:58 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-29 15:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-29 15:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -5.26%E -2.01%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-29 15:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-29 15:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-29 15:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.40%E -4.65%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.10%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-29 15:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.10%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-29 15:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.10%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-29 15:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -11.10%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -11.10%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -11.10%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.02%EV -11.40%E -4.65%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.55%EV -12.73%E -4.84%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.07%EV -12.63%E -4.43%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.14%EV -11.40%E -4.65%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.70% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.50% | 0.2% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.70% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.50% | 0.2% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.87% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.41% | 0.4% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |