La scuola delle quote

Malta v Luxembourg

Inizio: 2026-03-26 17:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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24 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Malta (Casa)

Previsione 26.58%3.76quota equa
EV +2.06%
Vantaggio +0.536%
Kelly +0.724%
Crescita +0.015%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.84

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.93%26.62%26.77%28.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.513.553.8430.77%28.48%28.13%26.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Luxembourg (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.04%2.44quota equa
EV -1.50%
Vantaggio -0.625%
Kelly -1.07%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.22%40.85%40.90%42.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.242.252.4046.51%44.57%44.44%41.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 32.38%3.09quota equa
EV -2.53%
Vantaggio -0.842%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.01

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.52%32.53%32.33%33.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.872.863.0137.04%34.81%34.97%33.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet3.84I 26.04%NM 25.30%EV +2.06%E +0.536%K +0.724%G +0.015%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.42%EV -6.01%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.28%EV -2.53%E -0.842%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-26 16:55
Marathon Bet3.84I 26.04%NM 25.25%EV +2.06%E +0.536%K +0.724%G +0.015%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.33%EV -6.01%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.42%EV -3.18%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-26 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -1.66%E -0.450%K -0.616%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.10%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 16:54
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -1.66%E -0.450%K -0.616%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.10%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -1.66%E -0.450%K -0.616%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -7.72%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-26 16:55
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -1.66%E -0.450%K -0.616%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -7.72%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-26 16:54
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -1.66%E -0.450%K -0.616%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.70%EV -11.35%E -5.25%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -7.72%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 16:54
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -2.99%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.80%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -6.10%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 16:54
DraftKings3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -2.99%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -7.72%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-26 16:54
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -7.72%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-26 16:54
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -11.76%E -5.47%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.10%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-26 16:55
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-26 16:55
Suprabets3.51I 28.49%NM 27.01%EV -6.71%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.52%EV -3.96%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.47%EV -5.45%E -1.87%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 16:51
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-26 16:49
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.97%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.10%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-26 16:55
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.97%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.10%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-26 16:55
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.97%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.10%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-26 16:55
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.97%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.10%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-26 16:54
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -1.50%E -0.625%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -12.57%E -4.66%K -7.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 16:52
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -7.72%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-26 16:50
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -7.72%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-26 16:55
Betclic (FR)3.28I 30.49%NM 28.12%EV -12.83%E -3.91%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.75%EV -4.78%E -2.06%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.13%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 16:51
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.84%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -7.72%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-26 16:55
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.84%EV -9.71%E -4.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -7.72%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-26 16:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.