預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Malta v Gibraltar

2026-10-01 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

獨贏

24 家博彩公司 (6 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Malta (主隊)

預測 72.61%1.38公平賠率
EV -4.88%
優勢 -3.73%
Kelly -15.74%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.31

博彩公司預測分布
70.64%72.46%72.51%73.77%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.231.281.291.3181.30%78.10%77.52%76.34%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Gibraltar (客隊)

預測 8.13%12.30公平賠率
EV +5.73%
優勢 +0.441%
Kelly +0.478%
成長率 +0.027%

假設最高賠率為 13.00

博彩公司預測分布
7.16%8.23%8.17%9.77%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
9.0011.3011.3813.0011.11%8.85%8.79%7.69%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 19.26%5.19公平賠率
EV +1.29%
優勢 +0.245%
Kelly +0.302%
成長率 +0.004%

假設最高賠率為 5.26

博彩公司預測分布
18.33%19.32%19.32%20.68%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.504.764.805.2622.22%20.99%20.83%19.01%最小值平均值中位數最大值

對於獨贏,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)估計各選項的機率為:Malta (主隊):72.61%;Gibraltar (客隊):8.13%;和局:19.26%。 對於「Gibraltar (客隊)」,該估計相當於12.30的公平十進位賠率。 有6家博彩公司提供高於該水準的賠率;目前最佳賠率為13.00,因此產生+5.73%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (24 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.95%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV +5.73%E +0.441%K +0.478%G +0.027%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV -7.57%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-28 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.95%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV +5.73%E +0.441%K +0.478%G +0.027%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV -7.57%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-28 12:00
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.16%EV -6.33%E -4.91%K -21.84%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +5.73%E +0.441%K +0.478%G +0.027%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -13.35%E -2.97%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-28 11:14
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.55%EV +1.67%E +0.133%K +0.145%G +0.002%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -8.53%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-28 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.55%EV +1.67%E +0.133%K +0.145%G +0.002%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -8.53%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-28 12:00
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.77%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000%12.30I 8.13%NM 7.86%EV +0.040%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.37%EV +1.29%E +0.245%K +0.302%G +0.004%3.5%2026-09-28 11:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.83%EV -0.366%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.43%EV +0.132%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-28 11:09
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV -6.47%E -0.562%K -0.616%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -7.57%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-28 08:35
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV -6.47%E -0.562%K -0.616%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -7.57%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-28 08:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV -6.47%E -0.562%K -0.616%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -7.57%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-28 08:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV -6.47%E -0.562%K -0.616%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -7.57%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-28 08:39
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV -6.47%E -0.562%K -0.616%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -7.57%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-28 10:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.91%EV -9.24%E -7.39%K -36.95%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.10%EV -8.50%E -0.756%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -7.57%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-28 09:13
LeoVegas🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.02%EV -7.78%E -6.13%K -28.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -10.53%E -0.958%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -3.72%E -0.744%K -0.930%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-28 09:15
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.55%EV -6.33%E -4.91%K -21.84%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -10.53%E -0.958%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -11.42%E -2.48%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-28 12:00
Suprabets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -9.24%E -7.39%K -36.95%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -10.53%E -0.958%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -3.72%E -0.744%K -0.930%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-28 11:16
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -7.78%E -6.13%K -28.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -10.53%E -0.958%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -9.50%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-28 08:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.58%EV -7.78%E -6.13%K -28.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -14.60%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -11.42%E -2.48%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-28 08:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.58%EV -7.78%E -6.13%K -28.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -14.60%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -11.42%E -2.48%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-28 08:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.59%EV -9.24%E -7.39%K -36.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.52%EV -14.60%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -13.35%E -2.97%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-28 08:40
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.64%EV -6.33%E -4.91%K -21.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -18.67%E -1.87%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -13.35%E -2.97%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-28 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.29%EV -9.24%E -7.39%K -36.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.91%EV -18.67%E -1.87%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -13.35%E -2.97%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-28 08:38
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.00%EV -9.96%E -8.03%K -41.51%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -22.73%E -2.39%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -7.57%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-28 09:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.51%EV -10.69%E -8.69%K -46.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.77%EV -26.80%E -2.98%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71%EV -9.50%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-28 09:10
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 40.58%1.10I 90.91%NM 46.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 12.57%94.0%2026-09-28 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 40.58%1.10I 90.91%NM 46.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 12.57%94.0%2026-09-28 13:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 40.58%1.10I 90.91%NM 46.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 12.57%94.0%2026-09-28 13:15