Language:English
Latvia v Montenegro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Latvia (Local)
Prediction 18.59%5.38fair odd
EV +0.960%
Edge +0.177%
Kelly +0.217%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 5.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.13%18.64%18.50%20.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.455.065.105.4322.47%19.75%19.61%18.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Montenegro (Visit)
Prediction 55.64%1.80fair odd
EV -4.30%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -5.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.37%55.58%55.76%56.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.671.681.7261.35%59.71%59.52%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.77%3.88fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -0.760%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.79%25.78%25.74%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.623.603.7729.41%27.63%27.78%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Latvia (Local): 18.59%; Montenegro (Visit): 55.64%; Draw: 25.77%. For Latvia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.38. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.960%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.69%EV +0.960%E +0.177%K +0.217%G +0.002% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.83%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.48%EV -2.87%E -0.760%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-02 15:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.13%EV +0.402%E +0.075%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -8.19%E -4.96%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -11.11%E -3.22%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-02 16:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.13%EV +0.402%E +0.075%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -8.19%E -4.96%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -11.11%E -3.22%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-02 15:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.91%EV -1.46%E -0.275%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.16%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.93%EV -5.70%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 15:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.68%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 15:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -4.67%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 16:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 16:01 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 15:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -3.32%E -0.638%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -9.30%E -5.71%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-02 15:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -5.18%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.72%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.49%EV -3.12%E -0.831%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -5.18%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.52%E -3.88%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -4.67%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 16:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -5.18%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.52%E -3.88%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -4.67%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 16:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -5.18%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.52%E -3.88%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -4.67%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 16:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -5.18%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.52%E -3.88%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -4.67%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -5.18%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.52%E -3.88%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -4.67%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 16:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -5.18%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.52%E -3.88%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -4.67%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 16:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -5.18%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.52%E -3.88%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -4.67%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 16:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -5.18%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.52%E -3.88%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -4.67%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 16:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -5.18%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.52%E -3.88%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -4.67%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 16:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -5.18%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.52%E -3.88%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -4.67%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 16:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -5.18%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.88%EV -6.52%E -3.88%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 15:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.03%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.03%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.03%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.03%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.35%EV -7.63%E -4.60%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -3.38%E -0.901%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-02 16:01 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.03%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-02 15:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.03%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-02 15:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.03%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -8.19%E -4.96%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-02 15:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.03%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.82%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-02 15:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.03%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.82%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-02 15:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.03%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -8.19%E -4.96%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -9.82%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-02 15:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.75%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.82%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-02 14:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.75%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.03%EV -8.75%E -5.33%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -4.67%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-02 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.75%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.82%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-02 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.75%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.82%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-02 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.75%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.82%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-02 15:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -10.75%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-02 15:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.61%EV -17.26%E -3.88%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.60%EV -6.52%E -3.88%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -4.67%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-02 15:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.64% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.56% | 0.3% | 2026-10-02 16:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.80% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.64% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.56% | 0.3% | 2026-10-02 16:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-10-02 16:00 |