Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.23
assuming max odds 2.02
assuming max odds 3.55
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kosovo (Local): 24.84%; Austria (Visit): 47.73%; Draw: 27.42%. For Kosovo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.08%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.47%EV +5.08%E +1.20%K +1.57%G +0.080% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.24%EV -7.87%E -4.08%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.29%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 15:58 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.49%EV +1.85%E +0.452%K +0.598%G +0.011% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.39%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -2.64%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 15:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.49%EV +1.85%E +0.452%K +0.598%G +0.011% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.39%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -2.64%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 15:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.49%EV +1.85%E +0.452%K +0.598%G +0.011% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.39%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -2.64%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 15:50 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV +1.85%E +0.452%K +0.598%G +0.011% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.83%E -4.62%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.30%EV -4.84%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 15:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -0.632%E -0.158%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.72%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 15:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -0.632%E -0.158%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -8.83%E -4.62%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 15:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -0.632%E -0.158%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -8.83%E -4.62%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-04 15:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.20%EV -1.63%E -0.410%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.41%EV -5.49%E -2.77%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 15:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -1.87%E -0.474%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -8.83%E -4.62%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 15:11 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -1.87%E -0.474%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -8.83%E -4.62%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 15:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -1.87%E -0.474%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -8.83%E -4.62%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 15:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.12%E -0.799%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-04 15:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -4.36%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -10.26%E -5.46%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -4.36%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -10.26%E -5.46%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -4.36%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -10.26%E -5.46%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 15:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -4.36%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -10.26%E -5.46%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 15:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -4.36%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -10.26%E -5.46%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 15:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.60%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -7.87%E -4.08%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 15:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.60%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -7.87%E -4.08%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 15:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.60%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 14:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.60%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 15:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.60%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 14:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.60%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.83%E -4.62%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-04 15:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -5.60%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.76%EV -10.26%E -5.46%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.12%EV -7.30%E -2.16%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-04 15:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.84%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -7.40%E -3.81%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 14:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.84%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-04 14:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -6.84%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.87%EV -7.87%E -4.08%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.50%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-04 14:38 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -6.84%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-04 15:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -6.84%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-04 15:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.53%E -2.27%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 15:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.73%EV -3.58%E -1.77%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.73%EV -3.58%E -1.77%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 15:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.53%E -2.27%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -10.87%E -3.34%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-04 15:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.33%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -8.35%E -4.35%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-04 14:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.33%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -4.53%E -2.27%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -4.53%E -2.27%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.39%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.53%E -2.27%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-04 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.53%E -2.27%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-04 15:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-04 15:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -4.53%E -2.27%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.87%E -3.34%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-04 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -4.53%E -2.27%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.87%E -3.34%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-04 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -4.53%E -2.27%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.87%E -3.34%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-04 11:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-04 15:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.63% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-10-04 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.63% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-10-04 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.63% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-10-04 15:55 |