The School of Odds
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Kazakhstan v Faroe Islands

Kickoff: 2026-10-06 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kazakhstan (Local)

Prediction 39.87%2.51fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -3.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.63%39.87%39.88%41.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.332.302.4043.48%43.00%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Faroe Islands (Visit)

Prediction 29.41%3.40fair odd
EV +0.578%
Edge +0.169%
Kelly +0.239%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.34%29.38%29.53%30.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.193.173.4233.33%31.34%31.55%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.72%3.25fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.527%
Kelly -0.766%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.56%30.76%30.60%31.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.873.053.083.2034.84%32.83%32.47%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kazakhstan (Local): 39.87%; Faroe Islands (Visit): 29.41%; Draw: 30.72%. For Faroe Islands (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.40. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.578%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.39%EV -4.32%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.34%EV +0.578%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.27%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-05 11:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.29%EV -5.11%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.37%EV -0.598%E -0.177%K -0.251%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.34%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-05 11:34
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.95%E -0.894%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 19:20
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.95%E -0.894%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.95%E -0.894%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 19:20
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.95%E -0.894%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 19:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.95%E -0.894%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 19:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.95%E -0.894%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.95%E -0.894%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 19:20
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.95%E -0.894%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 19:20
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.95%E -0.894%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.95%E -0.894%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.95%E -0.894%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 19:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.95%E -0.894%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 19:20
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.32%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -4.42%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-05 15:00
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.87%EV -7.51%E -3.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -4.42%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.67%EV -10.29%E -3.52%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-05 09:20
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.87%EV -7.51%E -3.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -4.42%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.67%EV -10.29%E -3.52%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-05 09:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -6.31%E -2.69%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-05 06:25
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -5.11%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-05 11:34
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-05 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-05 11:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-05 11:35
Suprabets🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.06%EV -6.31%E -2.69%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.96%EV -6.77%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.98%EV -11.82%E -4.12%K -6.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-05 11:37
ReBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -6.71%E -2.87%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.62%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.39%EV -5.37%E -1.74%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-05 14:06
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.31%E -2.69%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.36%E -2.34%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.29%E -2.06%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 06:25
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -6.31%E -2.69%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.36%E -2.34%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -9.37%E -3.17%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-05 11:35
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.36%E -2.34%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-05 09:20
Bovada🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.02%EV -5.91%E -2.51%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -7.36%E -2.34%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-05 14:15
BetAnything🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.02%EV -5.91%E -2.51%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -7.36%E -2.34%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-05 14:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.89%EV -7.51%E -3.24%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.66%EV -8.24%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.44%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-05 14:14
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -5.51%E -2.33%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -8.83%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -1.69%E -0.527%K -0.766%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 07:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -5.51%E -2.33%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -8.83%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -1.69%E -0.527%K -0.766%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-05 09:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.31%E -2.69%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.83%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 05:35
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.83%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-05 12:16
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.83%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.29%E -2.06%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-05 10:19
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.11%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.83%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-04 07:50
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.83%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-05 11:35
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.83%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-05 12:10
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.83%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-05 12:10
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.83%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-05 09:22
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.83%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.90%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-05 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.31%E -2.69%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -10.30%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.22%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 09:26
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.31%E -2.69%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -10.30%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.22%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 09:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.30%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -6.29%E -2.06%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-05 05:35
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -4.76%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-04 07:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-10-05 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-10-05 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-10-05 14:05