Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Hungary v Ukraine

Inizio: 2026-09-25 18:49 UTC

Finale: Hungary 0–1 Ukraine

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

29 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Hungary (Casa)

Previsione 38.23%2.62quota equa
EV +0.558%
Vantaggio +0.212%
Kelly +0.342%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.10%38.22%38.22%41.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.322.472.502.6343.10%40.41%40.00%38.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Ukraine (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.65%3.16quota equa
EV +3.80%
Vantaggio +1.16%
Kelly +1.67%
Crescita +0.063%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.24%31.51%31.72%32.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.932.903.2836.36%34.09%34.48%30.49%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 30.12%3.32quota equa
EV -1.81%
Vantaggio -0.556%
Kelly -0.802%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.26

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.77%30.27%30.05%32.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.073.103.2635.71%32.60%32.26%30.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Hungary (Casa): 38.23%; Ukraine (Trasferta): 31.65%; Pareggio: 30.12%. Per Ukraine (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.16. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.28, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.80%.

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.34%EV -11.30%E -4.87%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.24%EV +3.80%E +1.16%K +1.67%G +0.063%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.42%EV -1.81%E -0.556%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 18:40
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -10.15%E -4.32%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -0.314%E -0.100%K -0.146%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.13%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 18:45
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -6.32%E -2.58%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -3.48%E -1.14%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 18:39
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -6.32%E -2.58%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -3.48%E -1.14%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.70%EV +0.558%E +0.212%K +0.342%G +0.002%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.17%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.13%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-25 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.70%EV +0.558%E +0.212%K +0.342%G +0.002%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.17%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.13%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-25 18:35
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.41%E -1.77%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-25 18:48
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.24%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-25 18:40
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.32%E -2.58%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-25 18:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.88%EV -3.27%E -1.29%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.16%EV -5.69%E -1.91%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.95%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 18:44
Suprabets🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.64%EV -3.65%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.05%EV -6.33%E -2.14%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.31%EV -5.73%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 18:27
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -4.41%E -1.77%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-25 18:45
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -2.50%E -0.981%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 18:45
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.41%E -1.77%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-25 18:25
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.41%E -1.77%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-25 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.41%E -1.77%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-25 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.41%E -1.77%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-25 18:45
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -2.50%E -0.981%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-25 18:35
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -2.50%E -0.981%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-25 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.24%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.13%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-25 18:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.66%EV -9.38%E -3.96%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.75%EV -7.23%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-25 18:39
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -2.50%E -0.981%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV -11.15%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-25 18:35
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -8.24%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -13.26%E -4.60%K -7.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-25 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -10.15%E -4.32%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -9.81%E -3.44%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-25 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -4.41%E -1.77%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.81%E -3.44%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -15.67%E -5.60%K -8.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-25 18:30
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.24%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-25 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.41%EV -5.18%E -2.09%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.25%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.35%EV -13.26%E -4.60%K -7.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-25 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.41%EV -5.18%E -2.09%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.25%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.35%EV -13.26%E -4.60%K -7.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-25 18:35
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -6.32%E -2.58%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -12.97%E -4.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-25 18:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-09-25 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-09-25 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-09-25 18:45