Language:English
Gibraltar v Latvia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gibraltar (Local)
Prediction 13.01%7.69fair odd
EV +2.75%
Edge +0.348%
Kelly +0.398%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 7.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.27%13.09%13.02%14.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.067.007.9016.00%14.16%14.29%12.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Latvia (Visit)
Prediction 63.32%1.58fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.784%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.52%63.26%63.41%64.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.481.5671.43%68.22%67.80%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.68%4.22fair odd
EV -0.562%
Edge -0.134%
Kelly -0.176%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.73%23.65%23.57%24.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.933.954.2027.03%25.45%25.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gibraltar (Local): 13.01%; Latvia (Visit): 63.32%; Draw: 23.68%. For Gibraltar (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.69. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.75%.
Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.27%EV +2.75%E +0.348%K +0.398%G +0.011% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.79%EV -3.76%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.94%EV -4.11%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-26 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -2.46%E -0.328%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.40%EV -9.45%E -6.61%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -6.48%E -1.64%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-26 16:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -2.46%E -0.328%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.40%EV -9.45%E -6.61%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -6.48%E -1.64%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-26 16:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -2.46%E -0.328%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.40%EV -9.45%E -6.61%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -6.48%E -1.64%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-26 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -2.46%E -0.328%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.40%EV -9.45%E -6.61%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -6.48%E -1.64%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-26 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -2.46%E -0.328%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.40%EV -9.45%E -6.61%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -6.48%E -1.64%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-26 16:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.28I 13.74%NM 13.32%EV -5.32%E -0.731%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -1.22%E -0.784%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.48%E -1.64%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-26 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.91%EV -5.71%E -0.787%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.68%EV -6.92%E -4.71%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-26 16:48 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.37%EV -7.66%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.85%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.78%EV -5.53%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-26 16:51 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.64%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -0.562%E -0.134%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 16:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-26 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 16:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 16:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.66%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -8.85%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-26 16:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.06%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -12.40%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-26 16:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -8.82%E -6.13%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.22%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-26 16:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.95%EV -11.35%E -8.11%K -28.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -8.85%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-26 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.95%EV -11.35%E -8.11%K -28.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -8.85%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-26 16:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -12.21%E -1.81%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.36%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -8.85%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-26 16:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -12.21%E -1.81%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.03%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -7.66%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-26 16:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -15.46%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-26 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -18.71%E -2.99%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.35%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -7.66%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-26 16:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -18.71%E -2.99%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.35%EV -8.19%E -5.65%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -7.66%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-26 16:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.