Language:English
Finland v Albania
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Finland (Local)
Prediction 39.07%2.56fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.07%39.12%39.16%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.392.382.4943.48%41.82%42.02%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Albania (Visit)
Prediction 28.97%3.45fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.438%
Kelly -0.621%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.99%28.94%28.86%29.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.193.203.4032.26%31.38%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.96%3.13fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -0.830%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.12%31.94%31.98%33.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.782.932.903.0535.97%34.18%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Finland (Local): 39.07%; Albania (Visit): 28.97%; Draw: 31.96%. For Albania (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -1.49%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.09%EV -2.72%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.74%EV -4.39%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.16%EV -8.60%E -3.01%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 12:56 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.11%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.48%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.41%EV -2.53%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.11%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.48%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.41%EV -2.53%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.11%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.48%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.41%EV -2.53%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -4.13%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 12:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -4.39%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -5.73%E -1.94%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 12:51 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 12:51 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -4.28%E -1.75%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 12:51 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.62%EV -5.45%E -2.25%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.20%EV -1.49%E -0.438%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.18%EV -4.77%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -5.45%E -2.25%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.14%EV -11.16%E -4.01%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.23%E -2.60%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.13%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.23%E -2.60%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 13:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.23%E -2.60%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -7.97%E -2.77%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.23%E -2.60%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-03 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.23%E -2.60%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-03 12:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.23%E -2.60%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-03 12:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -7.01%E -2.95%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -4.39%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -4.13%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 12:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -7.01%E -2.95%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -4.13%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 12:58 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -7.01%E -2.95%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.13%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -7.01%E -2.95%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.13%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -7.01%E -2.95%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.13%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.01%E -2.95%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.97%E -2.77%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 12:51 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.01%E -2.95%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.97%E -2.77%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 12:51 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.04%EV -7.40%E -3.12%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.28%EV -8.44%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.68%EV -6.69%E -2.29%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-03 12:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -8.19%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -8.92%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-03 12:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -8.19%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -8.92%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-03 12:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.19%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.73%E -1.94%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.19%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.73%E -1.94%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.05%EV -8.19%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.31%EV -9.31%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 12:51 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -8.19%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 12:56 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -8.19%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -8.19%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -8.19%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 12:56 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -10.14%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -4.39%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-03 11:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -10.14%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.14%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.52%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.29% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.51% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.19% | 0.2% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.29% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.51% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.19% | 0.2% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.27% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |